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Measuring Breadth Since January 2018

March 11, 2019

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

My presentation at Chart Summit 2019 focused on market breadth and how we like to keep our process of looking at the subject pretty simple.

While that presentation covered a number of our methods of measuring the market's internals, in this post I want to share some stats we pulled this weekend that help provide some valuable context around the market's rally from the December 24th lows.

The table below outlines the major US Indexes we cover with performance stats from important inflection points: The January 2018 highs, the September 2018 peak, and the December 24th low.

We also have some additional stats listed like percentage below 52-week high and above 52-week low, days since those events occurred, whether the daily RSI reading is in a bullish or bearish range, and whether prices are above their 200-day moving average.

The columns we want to pay attention to for now are the first three.

Click on table to enlarge view.

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Shorting Casinos With My Homies

March 7, 2019

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Throughout the week we've been raising some caution flags about the short-term direction of Equities (here, here, and here).

Now that we're seeing some downside follow-through for the first time since December, I wanted to outline a few more potential short setups on an absolute and relative basis.

First let's start with why I'm looking at these sub-sectors to begin with.

The S&P Midcap 400 Consumer Discretionary is one of the cleanest charts I see out there on an absolute basis, with well-defined risk and reward/risk clearly skewed in favor of the bulls. Since there's no ETF to trade this, I had to look through some of the individual components to see how we can best express this thesis in the market.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

[Premium] Signs Of A Long-Term Bottom Emerge

March 6, 2019

In our "Free Chart of The Week" we posed the question whether or not we've seen the end of the Mid/Small-Cap decline and presented some compelling breadth and momentum data.

This post is going to outline all of the "big picture" evidence that's currently available and explain why we think the foundation has been laid for stocks to carve out a long-term bottom.

Some Choppy Waters Likely Ahead

March 5, 2019

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

The market has been a one way street since late December, but last week we put our our first short ideas since Q4 and Sunday night we wrote about some near-term risks that were emerging. Things are potentially changing.

At the Index level things are a hot mess, but under the surface we're starting to see traffic moving in both directions...and that's perfectly normal! Stocks go up and down. Let's take a look at what we're seeing.

Noting Some Near-Term Risks

March 4, 2019

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

In late December I highlighted a few things from a weekend of charting that suggested improving risk appetite in Equities, one of which was a potential bottom in Crude Oil. Today I'm seeing the opposite, so I want to look at the near-term risk Crude Oil poses along with a few other things.