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Growth vs. Value at a Crossroads

March 14, 2024

From the Desk of Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts

One of the major themes we’re monitoring closely right now is the Growth vs Value relationship.

While Growth has dominated for the past couple of quarters, the technical setup suggests it may be time for value to take the lead.

The chart below shows the ratio testing a critical area of former resistance from above.

This is NOT 2023

March 14, 2024

In the latest example of, "This is not 2023", take look at what Energy stocks have been doing.

And I'm not talking about Coal and Uranium.

Specifically, the Oil & Gas Services, Producers & Explorers and the Integrated names are all outperforming.

This did not happen last year.

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2 to 100 Club (03-13-2024)

March 14, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

As most of you know, we use various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach.

It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

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Get Used to a Range-Bound Dollar

March 13, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Gold is outshining the dollar.

The greenback doesn’t know which way to go, as FX markets offer traders little in the way of breakouts.

Instead of reviewing the chopfest, playing devil’s advocate, and weighing the lack of evidence for a near-term directional bias, let’s turn to a trending market for insight into the dollar.

Spoiler alert: It’s shiny, yellow, and trading at new all-time highs.

Yes, I’m referring to Gold.

Gold and the US dollar hold a classic intermarket relationship — an overt negative correlation. 

As I reviewed the charts this weekend, another pattern emerged between the two. 

I decided to offset Gold ahead of the dollar by roughly two to four years. After adjusting the charts, I landed on setting Gold forward by 130 weeks (approximately two-and-a-half years).

And voila:

Small-caps Do The Running Man

March 12, 2024

The Small-cap stock indexes haven't been able to make any progress all year.

But not every Small-cap Index is created equal.

Let's take a look at the two most popular:

Russell2000 Small-cap Index & S&P600 Small-cap Index.

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The Minor Leaguers (03-11-2024)

March 11, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list now, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

Dow Theory Divergence 2024

March 11, 2024

Stocks are down again to start the week.

All of this while Bitcoin is making new all-time highs this morning:

BTCUSD: $72,000

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Meanwhile, there's a Dow Theory Divergence that continues to cast a huge cloud over the US Stock Market.

We saw the exact same divergence just before the Covid crash.

Notice how the Dow Jones Industrial Average is making new highs, but the Dow Jones Transportation Average is nowhere near new highs.

It's a Bull Market For Gold

March 10, 2024

Did you see Gold break out to new all-time highs?

These are the highest prices ever for Gold, in all of human history.

But if you're paying attention, you'll notice how Gold prices move first, and then Bitcoin follows: