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Chart of the Day: Thrust Hunting Season

July 16, 2022

If you've been following along over the years, you've heard me mention plenty of times that breadth thrusts tend to cluster together early on in market uptrends.

Well, a funny thing happened yesterday - we had our first 9-to-1 up volume day on the NYSE since May.

To quote Willie, "Stringing 2 of these together without an intervening 9-to-1 down day would be a very positive development".

Here's what that looks like:

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Where Will Bears Strike Next?

July 15, 2022

From the desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Sellers are in the driver's seat when it comes to commodities these days.

Besides natural gas and livestock contracts, few commodities present buying opportunities that we like. In reality, most have either broken down or are on the verge of breaking down. 

As the latest bout of selling pressure shows little signs of easing, we’re likely to experience more damage in the coming days and weeks.

Copper, one of the most economically sensitive and widely followed commodities in the world, is a great example of recent weakness. It can’t stop falling.

Given the downside volatility raw materials have experienced since the start of the summer, many trends are stretched. We don’t want to be too bearish here. We want to let the dust settle.

With that said, it’s hard not to imagine where the bears will strike next.

And when we scroll through our charts, it looks like they have crude oil in their sights.

Let’s take a look.

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The Hall of Famers (07-15-2022)

July 15, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that which you can check out here.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

Click table to enlarge view

"Show Me" Time For Bitcoin & Ethereum

July 15, 2022

The US Dollar took a little break from going up yesterday, and that has continued a bit this morning.

A funny thing happens when the Dollar isn't ripping - stocks and crypto prices are able to rise....

Today is Crypto Fridays around here at Allstarcharts.

We start with our 7AM meeting with the whole Crypto Team going over everything from the major trends, to new coins popping up on our screens, or the latest from the private world of defi and web 3.

Then at 10AM ET we hold our weekly Crypto Strategy session for Members of ASC Crypto.

[Call +1 (323) 421-7910 to access ASC Crypto Trade Ideas and Reports]

In addition to all of this, I like to schedule my "Crypto" type meetings to Fridays as well. So it's become Crypto Fridays around here, almost by accident, and I like it.

It's fun.

Anyway, this is what's on my mind today.

Tell me there is a more important set of charts in all of Crypto right now.

Prices of the two biggest and most important coins are back to the prior cycle's high:

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The Short Report (07-14-2022)

July 14, 2022

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions… but there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club. We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports. Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

What's It Going To Take?

July 13, 2022

"JC what's on your mind these days?"

I get asked this a lot. So it keeps me on my toes.

But it's a great exercise, even if you're not being asked regularly by colleagues and journalists.

So what is on my mind?

It's this.

It's still this.

It's the strong Dollar preventing stocks and crypto assets from rising in price:

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The Canadian Dollar Stands Strong

July 13, 2022

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

It’s inescapable. If you haven’t read it in the news, seen it on Twitter, or heard it from a co-worker, here’s the scoop…

The euro has tumbled to parity with the dollar for the first time in almost 20 years!

That’s the big news in the currency markets these days. Sure, it’s a significant development.

But what currency isn’t falling against the US dollar right now?

It’s an interesting question. And it draws our attention to the Canadian dollar.

Let’s take a look.

Here’s a chart of the USD/CAD cross:

While the US dollar steamrolls everything in sight and prints fresh decade-highs against most major currencies, it’s still dealing with last year’s highs against the Canadian dollar.

Develop Your Cosmic Perspective

July 13, 2022

From the Desk of Louis Sykes

They're everywhere.

The long-awaited James Webb Space Telescope images...

Moments like these are not only significant for the scientific quest. They also deeply change the human condition and what we think is possible.

When Copernicus discovered the heliocentric model -- that the universe doesn't rotate around Earth -- it humbled humanity.

When Newton discovered that the motion of the celestial bodies followed strict laws of mathematics, it gave a seemingly entropic universe order.

When man landed on the moon, it changed our entire perception of what's possible.

And when the Hubble Space Telescope and the more recently launched JWST send back awe-inspiring images, it gives us a perspective of the cosmos we've never seen before.

Chart of the Day: New All-time Lows

July 13, 2022

You can't overstate what a bully the Dollar has been towards stocks in the U.S. and around the world.

We've talked about new 20 year lows for Japanese Yen, and the recent parity with the Euro, of course.

But now take a look the Emerging Markets Currencies ETF breaking down to new all-time lows:

Not an inflation hedge. Not a safe haven.

July 12, 2022

The S&P 500 just had its worst first half in more than 50 years.

Based on CPI, if you’re in cash, you’re losing 8.5% a year.

This was the worst start to the Bond Market since 1842.

So what do you think gold is doing in that environment?

Down near new 52-week lows...

Chart of the Day: Bear Markets

July 12, 2022

In bear markets, you're going to find more stocks making new lows than new highs.

That's just basic math.

In bull markets, you'll see the opposite.

Here's what today looks like: 33 consecutive weeks of more stocks hitting new lows than new highs.