We look at a lot of charts every week, so it's not surprising that we often come across charts that look "too simple."
A setup we've seen thousands of times or a trend that's reaffirmed itself time and time again, yet I always find myself being skeptical of a chart that looks textbook in nature.
Today I want to take a look at one of those charts.
For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it's a custom index or inverted, who knows!
We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.
You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now.Buy,Sell, or Do Nothing?
We continue to see prices in the major indices bounce as breadth and momentum divergences remain intact, however, many of the trades we've outlined have moved away from their optimal reward/risk level.
Today we're outlining stocks we can be buying today, or in the near-term.
For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it's a custom index or inverted, who knows!
We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.
You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now.Buy,Sell, or Do Nothing?
You've got to love a stock breaking out of a seven-year base and doing so with options pricing in the lowest volatility levels all year. And when it is in a strong sector that has been among the leaders all year, I'm licking my chops.
The TSX Composite is peaking its head out above resistance and into the fresh air of all-time highs, but can the recent strength continue?
Today we're looking for answers in two sectors that matter, Financials and Energy, which account for roughly 50% of the index's weighting.
First off, here's the TSX Composite Index breaking to new all-time highs, slightly exceeding its former highs of 16,650. Momentum has yet to get overbought, but if prices are above that level then we need to be erring on the long side with an upside objective of 18,300 over the next 6-12 months.
In this Episode of Allstarcharts Weekly, Steve and I talk about the fact that the only sectors making both weekly and monthly all-time highs are Consumer Staples, Utilities and REITs. That's not exactly the type of leadership one might expect to see in a strong bull market, leading many to believe that it is not, and therefore we should be selling stocks. My argument is that while on paper, yes, technically those ARE the only ones making new "weekly AND monthly" all-time highs, sectors like Technology, Consumer Discretionary and Communication (heavily weighted $FB & $GOOG) are just a stone's throw away from doing the same. These are all far from "Defensive" sectors. I think the positive rotation continues and these sectors play catch-up.
There are a lot of messy charts out there, but we've been discussing the importance of having a global perspective and using weekly/monthly charts to stay focused on structural trends as opposed to the day to day noise/chop we've been experiencing.
Today we want to look at an area showing relative strength that's still offering opportunities for those who need to put cash to work.
