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Nifty Energy Index Makes New Relative Lows

January 29, 2020

In our last post, we wrote about two stocks we wanted to be avoided as they're showing relative weakness.

Today our attention turns to the Energy Sector which is making 1-year lows relative to the Nifty 500. Let's take a look.

Mystery Chart (01-28-2020)

January 28, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

New Mystery Chart!

For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it's a custom index or inverted, who knows!

We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.

You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?

Managing Risk As Spencer's Retail Ltd. Reverses Trend

January 23, 2020

We've gotten a few questions about the stock, Spencer's Retail Ltd., since it rallied more than 50% over the last few weeks on news of a large shareholder building a position.

The question now is, can this run continue and how do we define our risk if involved in the stock?

Let's take a look.

Mystery Chart (01-21-2020)

January 21, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

New Mystery Chart!

For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it's a custom index or inverted, who knows!

We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.

You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?

Are Utilities Pointing To Lower Rates Ahead?

January 21, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

My big question coming into this weekend was what should we make of the action in Utilities lately and what does it mean for Bonds?

Utilities are making new all-time highs on an absolute basis, posing this question on Twitter: "So is the breakout in Utilities to new all-time highs a signal that a Bond breakout is coming, or is it simply a bi-product of overwhelming demand for Equities?

This got a lot of attention and responses, so I thought it'd be worthwhile to quickly outline what I'm watching in Utilities and the Bond market over the next few weeks.

[Chart of The Week] What Does Yesterday's Candle Mean?

January 21, 2020

Yesterday's candle in most of the major indices was a "Bearish Engulfing" candle, which is a short-term reversal signal when it comes in an uptrend.

In today's post, I want to bring that development to your attention and explain what it means within its longer-term context.

Pharma's Trend Looks Ready To Accelerate Higher

January 20, 2020

Roughly 2 months ago we outlined why there was potential for strength and outperformance from the Nifty Pharma sector and its components.

We've gotten some nice moves since then and given the rotation we're seeing in other areas of the market like Consumer Goods and Technology, the charts are suggesting Pharma stocks are getting ready to accelerate to the upside.

Here's the Nifty Pharma Index, which confirmed a failed breakdown and bullish momentum divergence by closing back above support near 8,000. That defined our risk on the long side and skewed the reward/risk very much in our favor. It's worked well so far and we're now seeing prices accelerate off support and towards our 10,300 target.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

Three Charts Point To Higher Commodity Prices

January 19, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

In late August we started to see some signs of a potential bottom forming in Commodities as they approached long-term support with momentum diverging and in October we finally got a breakout.

Today that breakout in the Thomson Reuters CRB Commodity Continuous Index remains intact and the trend in Commodities as an asset class has shifted from one we want to be selling rips to one that we're buying dips.

From an intermarket perspective, there are a lot of signals we've discussed that support higher Commodity prices such as the AUD/USD and CAD/USD breakouts, and today I want to share three more data points that have shown up in the last few weeks.