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The Short Report (03-04-2025)

March 4, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

...

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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 3/4/25

March 4, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Rolled XHB to April options.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

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Rotation vs Distribution

March 4, 2025

Last night might have been the most important LIVE Conference Call we've ever had.

Traders and Investors have so many questions right now about the coming months and quarters that we had so much to talk about.

We went over all the most important trends in the market today, what our favorite setups are from the long side, what the new downside risks look like, and my one favorite place to put money to work RIGHT HERE RIGHT NOW.

Click here and register to get full access to last night's LIVE Video Conference Call.

You'll be able to pause, rewind and fast forward. And the slide deck with over 160 charts is also available to download right away.

Watch the Replay and get the Trade Ideas...

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[Gold Rush] This Precious Metals Bull Market Just Hit Its First Anniversary 🥳

March 3, 2025

This precious metals bull market will turn 1 year old on Tuesday.

Can you believe it? 

Gold futures resolved a multi-decade basing pattern on March 4th, 2024.

We've had a blast riding the shiny yellow metal higher and made a ton of money along the way.

The cycle has had its ups and downs, no doubt about it.

But when we zoom out and analyze the long-term trends, it's clear what environment we're in. A raging bull market!

Buyers are being rewarded, and sellers are being penalized. This is what happens in uptrends.

Let's take a moment to step back and assess our progress over the last year.

Check out this performance chart 👇
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[Options Premium] Engineering a Rebound

March 3, 2025

Today's trade is in a stock that recently announced earnings. The reaction was muted, which I think is a good thing. It left the chart sitting right where I'd like it to be, holding the recent lows of a 4-week pullback. 

The beauty is that this gives me a nearby risk management level, so I'll have an opportunity to keep losses to a minimum if the rebound doesn't materialize.

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Breadth Expansion Continues to Drive Bull Market

March 3, 2025

I came down with a pretty bad cold this weekend. Most of my Sunday was spent quarantined in my office so I wouldn't get my kids sick (4yr old and twin 2yr olds).

Of course, rather than laying in bed resting, I was in my office looking through charts.

I couldn't help myself.

It's my way of relaxing. And as it turns out, I do feel a lot better today than I did when I woke up yesterday.

But one thing I was able to do was go one by one counting stocks, sectors and indexes all over the world to see if these ugly rumors about weakening market breadth were true.

As it turns out, they're just lies. 

Market breadth continues to expand as more and more countries around the world are hitting new highs, not fewer.

We already discussed how Earth is Hitting New All-time highs

But if you go one by...

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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 3/3/25

March 3, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Adjustment to TLT position.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

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Under The Hood (03-03-2025)

March 3, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended January 3, 2025. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

 

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers, there’s...

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The Bond Market Just Flipped—Here’s What It Means for Your Portfolio

March 2, 2025

Bonds are telling the story of this market, and if you’re not listening you’re already behind! 

Growth, inflation, liquidity – it’s all written in the bond market’s moves, making bonds the most critical tool for any trader. 

Period. 

The 2 year US Treasury yield exploded higher the moment the Fed started cutting rates – a massive tell that expectations shifted on a dime, as the chart clearly shows

 

Now that same yield has flipped direction and is plunging lower. You know what that means: liquidity could start flooding the system once again.

When liquidity increases, money doesn’t sit still – it moves fast

We’re watching capital rip through the market, rotating in to international stocks like it’s got something to prove. 

The Fed might think they’re steering the ship with their rate tweaks, but the bond market says otherwise. 

It’s the bond market that leads the way – always has, always will.

So here’s the million dollar question: will we...