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US Stocks Fail At Major Resistance

June 27, 2020

We take a consistent intermarket approach to stocks. Not only do we analyze all the Stock indexes, both domestically and around the globe, but we also compare stocks to other asset classes. This is historically very helpful information to determine the direction of the primary trend for stocks.

Today, we're taking a look at stocks running into major resistance relative to its alternatives. More specifically, stocks are failing relative to both Bonds and Gold.

As you can see in this chart, we saw significant support near this gray shaded area in late 2018 and then once again in August of last year. This "Support" finally gave way and broke in early March, almost 4 months ago. This former "Support" has now turned into "Resistance" throughout June:

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Betting On The Best Gamers

June 26, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When going over some of this week's content ideas with JC, I told him "I can't possibly write another post about Tech stocks, but I want to."

His response was simple: "That's information."

In other words, based on the thousands of US Equities charts I'm looking at each week, the strongest uptrends continue to be in Technology $XLK. The fact that it almost seems too good to be true, or that I feel like I'm beating a dead horse about "tech, tech, and more tech" - is all the more reason to remain bullish.

We can't change the fact that there's a lot of good stuff going on in the space right now. We can only interpret the data in front of us, and right now, it's saying we should keep buying Tech.

So is this.

The uptrend has definitely gone parabolic. But take a look at the data going back 20-years in the chart insert... we're still a long way off all-time highs in this ratio. We think...

Bank Stocks On Breakdown Watch

June 25, 2020

Financials are what we're watching very closely this week as a warning of a more substantial stock market correction throughout the summer.

Our strategy has been to buy stocks that are going up. That's worked well. But if you noticed, that has NOT included financials. It's been mostly in the Technology, Internet, Social Media, Biotech & Mobile Payments sectors. That has been our go-to universe during this multi-month rally in stocks.

However, even though we haven't been buying bank stocks, that doesn't mean we just ignore them. Quite the opposite, in fact. If you recall, it was the bank stocks that helped us get so bearish in early February, well before any market crash. We are focused on this group again today for the exact same reasons: Risk Management.

Here is a chart of Financials flirting with that 23 level. That represents the former highs from April. If we're below that, the risk in here is down, and not up:

Reminder: Stocks Go Up AND Down

June 25, 2020

Outside of India, many major indexes like the S&P 500, have yet to recover above their resistance levels we outlined two weeks ago. With that said, prices have yet to collapse either.

Instead, what we're seeing is prices digesting their gains and setting up for their next move...in whatever direction that may be.

Inside of India, we're seeing the major indices experiencing their first real day of selling after a strong run off of the June 12th lows.

In this post, we're going to provide some perspective on the question many are seemingly asking, "was that it for stocks?"

Precious Metals - Why Less Is More

June 24, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

When it comes to the analysis of Precious Metals, we can make it as simple or as complex as possible. There's no shortage of ratios, risk appetite measures, individual stocks to analyze, etc.

In this post, we're going to take a step back and focus on the assets we're trading rather than all of the other junk.

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Under The Hood (06-23-2020)

June 24, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Last week, we introduced our new weekly column called "Under The Hood." You can read more about it here.

Basically, we are looking at a universe of the most popular stocks on Robinhood measured by the net increase in accounts holding them week-over-week. Then we're drilling into the charts to find opportunities to either join in and ride the momentum in these names higher, or bet against those that get too frothy.

Here is this week's list. It represents the top 60 stocks that experienced net increases in ownership among Robinhood users last week. We've also included their weekly performance.

Click table to enlarge view.

This week we have two trade setups. But first, let's look at some of the stocks on this list that are in strong structural uptrends.

Last week, we...

Mystery Chart (06-23-2020)

June 23, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

New Mystery Chart!

For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it’s a custom index or inverted, who knows!

We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.

You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?

Reliance Has 35% More Upside

June 23, 2020

Reliance Industries is the largest component of the Nifty 50 at nearly 12% of the index's weighting, so when it moves, we need to pay attention.

The stock has come a long way since its March lows, so we want to take a look at where it's come from and what its recent break to new all-time highs means for its future.

Charting School: Fibonacci Analysis on Abbott Labs

June 23, 2020

I get asked a lot about Fibonacci and why I use it so often. If by now I haven't made that perfectly obvious, the reason we use it is because it works! Fibonacci levels help us set price targets and, most importantly, manage risk. The market tends to respect these levels, so it would be foolish for us to ignore them.

In our NEW Charting School, I explain exactly how I calculate these levels and walk you through a bunch of real life examples where they helped us over the years. You can watch Lesson 1 here for Free, and then decide if you'd like to continue with the rest of the course.

Today I want to walk you through the process of analyzing shares of Abbott Labs. But first, why Abbott Labs? Why am I interested in this name?

Well, Medical Device stocks are starting to come up in conversation with regards to the continued sector rotation we've been witnessing in recent months. When I think about these stocks, I...