Last month, we discussed the Palladium ETF $PALL hitting fresh 7-year lows, breaching a critical support level.
However, the bears could not gain any downside momentum, and it seems like we're nearing a cyclical trough.
Commercial hedgers have never carried a larger net-long position. Historically, it has been prudent to not bet against the smart money in commodities markets.
And one of our favorite long-term momentum indicators, the monthly MACD, has now given us a buy signal. That said, it's still a bit messy in the short term.
I've anticipated sideways price action for a month.
This continues as my intermediate outlook (months) has shifted from bullish to neutral as Bitcoin lost $56,000 and stocks appear as if they need time to improve.
My short-term outlook (weeks) moves from neutral to bullish, with Bitcoin and Ethereum at their lows and negative funding set us up for a bounce. I remain long on tokens like HNT, SOL, and BLUR holding support, but await further market shape before becoming overly bullish.
High Beta outperforming Low Volatility stocks is usually something we see in healthy market environments.
This year, however, High Beta has been struggling to make any progress vs their Low Volatility counterparts.
"Beta" is essentially how volatile a stock is relative to its benchmark.
So High Beta think $SMCI, $NVDA, $AMD, $AVGO and others. You have half the S&P500 High Beta Index in Technology and another 17% in Consumer Discretionary.
In contrast, for Low Volatility think Berkshire Hathaway, Coca-Cola, Visa, Procter & Gamble. You'll find a lot of Financials, Consumer Staples, Utilities and Industrials in this group.
Here is the ratio of High Beta vs Low Volatility breaking down to the lowest levels all year.
The Analysts here at All Star Charts were discussing Natural Gas in a recent analyst meeting, and the feeling is that 'ol Natty might be putting in a bottom and ready to reverse higher.
It's certainly got me in the mood to 'F around and find out.'
Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.
These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.
It has all the big names and more.
It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.
The Hall of Famers is simple.
We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.
While crypto is down, Helium is up. That's relative strength.
I'm also watching Polygon for longs and Maker for shorts.
More widely, the correlation between crypto and stocks is back. With Bitcoin nearing my bullish invalidation of 56,000, stocks are selling off and that's dragging crypto down.
Since this summer, safe haven assets have been catching a bid and outperforming across the board.
Investors are paying attention to growth indicators like ISM and PMI data. Other investors are looking at CPI and paying extra-close attention to the Fed…
Here's the US Core Inflation Rate along with the 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF $IEF. Since inflation peaked and rolled over in 2022, bonds have been building a massive base: