If you find yourself unprepared, don’t be alarmed. We have a plan…
Buy base breakouts.
Check out coffee futures ripping above a shelf of former highs:
We often joke that catching base breakouts like this gets us out of bed in the morning. (It’s the best part of waking up.)
The trade setup outlined at the beginning of the year still stands, though the contacts have changed. (May now represents the most actively traded month and our contract of choice. However, it will likely roll to July next week.)
I like coffee futures long above 197 with an initial target of 260. But it wouldn’t surprise me if coffee experiences a parabolic advance...
Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.
These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Airbnb and Uber.
It has all the big names and more.
It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.
The Hall of Famers is simple.
We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.
Here’s this week’s list:
*Click table to enlarge view
We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.
We held our April Monthly Strategy Session earlier this week. Premium Members can access and rewatch it here.
Non-members can get a quick recap of the call simply by reading this post each month.
By focusing on long-term, monthly charts, the idea is to take a step back and put things into the context of their structural trends. This is easily one of our most valuable exercises as it forces us to put aside the day-to-day noise and simply examine markets from a “big-picture” point of view.
With that as our backdrop, let’s dive right in and discuss three of the most important charts and/or themes from this month’s call.
How I learned it more than a couple of decades ago was that there were 3 asset classes: Stocks, Bonds AND Commodities.
But a funny thing happened throughout the 2010s. Commodities did so poorly, particularly when you compare their performance to Stocks and Bonds, that investors completely forgot that Commodities were an asset class.
Many newer investors never even knew in the first place.
But yes folks, there are 3 asset classes. And that 3rd one that everyone conveniently forgot about is the one that is dominating returns this cycle.
Here is a ratio of Commodities to Bonds in a strong uptrend as everyone keeps telling me that interest rates are falling.
It's actually the exact opposite. Interest rates keep going up, as Commodities rip higher and bonds keep falling apart.
Even the most ardent tech investors can’t avert their gaze from Gold’s eye-catching new highs.
If you find yourself unprepared, don’t be alarmed. We have a plan…
Buy base breakouts.
Check out coffee futures ripping above a shelf of former highs:
We often joke that catching base breakouts like this gets us out of bed in the morning. (It’s the best part of waking up.)
The trade setup outlined at the beginning of the year still stands, though the contacts have changed. (May now represents the most actively traded month and our contract of choice. However, it will likely roll to July next week.)
I like coffee futures long above 197 with an initial target of 260. But it wouldn’t surprise me if coffee experiences a parabolic advance similar to the rally off the 2020 lows.
If you’re one of the many clinging to the disinflation narrative or any narrative other than price, it’s time to update your priors and take action.
Commodities are in the midst of a bull run that began in 2020. Gold is printing another new all-time high...