Many Small-caps have been leaders from the very beginning of this bull market.
Even through the first couple of weeks of 2024, which haven't been great, Small-cap Industrials are still up over 42% since the Summer '22 lows. Small-cap Consumer Discretionary is up over 37%.
Both of these have outperformed even the S&P500 during this period.
So maybe the "Russell2000" has underperformed. But that doesn't mean that "Small-caps" have underperformed.
It's on a case by case basis.
Here is a list of our Minor Leaguers, for example, which include the strongest stocks between $1 Billion - $4 Billion in market cap:
One of the areas I’ve identified where I can improve my trading is in trade selection. Specifically, my trade avoidance.
Due to my early trading experience as a stock trader, it was ingrained in me during my formative trading years to avoid positioning in stocks that are about to announce earnings.
And for good reason.
Once a stock trade is on, our only real defense against punishing losses is to have a stop-loss order working. That’s fine if you trust yourself to always honor your mental stops. But for most of us mere mortals, the good-til-canceled stop-loss order is our best protection.
99% of the time, a stop-loss order works as intended. Sure, we might suffer a little slippage here and there. But it works like a charm in preventing disaster. Especially for intraday trades.
But for overnight holds, a stop-loss order has its limits. And these limits are fully exposed in the event of a...
We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.
For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.
That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.
We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.
To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list now, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.
And it doesn't have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.
The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new highs in order to...
From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts
This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.
In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.
We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.
Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.
We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.
What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.
And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think...
The US dollar is marching higher, stomping gold mining stocks into dust.
Harmony $HMY, Kinross $KGC, and Eldorado Gold $EGO are hovering just above last month’s breakout levels.
And Franco Nevada $FNV – a secular leader among royalty companies – is sliding toward fresh multi-year lows!
Check out FNV undercutting a shelf of former lows:
I’m not crazy about shorting it. But you can’t own FNV below its 2022 lows at approximately 110.
The path of least resistance points toward 80 if it trades below those former lows.
A Franco-Nevada breakdown shines an unfavorable light on the current condition of the precious metals space. But FNV is taking a different course than most royalty companies.
Here’s a performance chart of FNV, Royal Gold $RGLD, Osisko Gold Royalties $OR, and the SPDR Gold Trust ETF $GLD since last March:
The returns carry less significance here than the divergence beginning last fall.
OR, RGLD, and GLD bottomed last October (when the US dollar peaked – not a coincidence) while FNV continued to fall.
Let's remember that throughout the 4th quarter we were going out of our way to be more aggressive than even we were accustomed to.
It was a different environment.
And while we did not know what 2024 would bring, we still don't, at least we came in with a good list of developments that would likely be occurring before a more severe correction was underway.
Remember, the new highs list peaked on December 14th. So that means we're over a month into a market correction that you can only see taking place...
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