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[Chart of the Week] Is Technology Making A Run Towards All-time Highs?

January 27, 2017

While so many people seem to be focused on the major US Indexes like the S&P500 or the Dow Jones Industrial Average reaching the irrelevant 20,000 level, I prefer to focus on individual stocks and sectors. There are areas of strength, like Technology obviously, and areas of weakness like Healthcare and Consumer Staples. Stocks are like investors, there are winners and losers. I prefer to be a winning investor focused on winning stocks, wouldn't you? Today we're taking a look at Technology as it quietly breaks out again to new highs.

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[Premium] Here's A Deep Dive Into Shipping Stocks

January 21, 2017

When you talk about sectors that have been out of favor for a long time, it is hard not to think about the Shippers. Although as a group they bottomed out in February last year along with the S&P500 and a lot of other major indexes and sectors, they haven't really done much ever since. It's been more of a sideways, frustrating grind for anyone involved, both longs and shorts.

This week I dug a little deeper into this space and I wanted to share some of my findings. Also note that some of these stocks are not exactly mega-caps. They're poor little shippers. So before doing anything, make sure you check for enough liquidity to fit your parameters. Some are also much smaller market-caps than we're used to talking about here, so just a heads up.

Is Netflix The Most Recent Example Of A Gap & Go?

January 20, 2017

When we look at stocks that continuously sell off when they hit a specific area, we call that “resistance”. But all that really means is that the market is suggesting there are more sellers than buyers near a given price. There is overhead supply of shares, for whatever the reason. We’re not interested in knowing why, we just want to know if there is resistance or not. In some cases, stocks will “break out” above that overhead resistance, proving to us mathematically that the overwhelming amount of sellers at that given area has now been absorbed by an overwhelming amount of buyers for the stock.

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[Premium] Gold, Silver and Gold Stocks For Days

January 17, 2017

As I mentioned recently, I've been working with some new technology and it's allowing me to easily share analysis in a much more detailed way from a sub-sector perspective. In the first top/down review last week we looked at the Media stocks. Today I want to take a deep dive into the precious metals market and really drill down how we want to approach this market. There is more sensitivity when it comes to participants in this market so knowing that is advantageous. We want to 1) recognize this added sensitivity and 2) try to take advantage of that for profit.

Where Are Interest Rates Going Next?

January 17, 2017

There is something fishy happening in the bond market these days. Sentiment is hitting historic bearish extremes as US Interest Rates have fallen over the past month. This to me seems like a "too little too late" sort of thing from those who missed the bond sell-off that began last summer. If you recall, we had been ultra-bearish bonds (bullish rates) since the middle of the summer (see: August 3, 2016). That worked great and all of our targets were hit in the 4th quarter. Since December, we've been approaching the bond market from the long side and sentiment these days is reiterating why we would still rather err on the bullish side moving forward.

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[Premium] Here's The Skinny On The Media Stocks

January 11, 2017

One of the things I've been working on behind the scenes is building the technology necessary to deliver my sub-sector analysis. Until now, you guys only see the end results. Through the Chartbook, I've been able give you access to my analysis on many things, including the sector and sub-sector ETFs. Once I've concluded that I like a particular sector, long or short, I'll then break down the components of that sector to find stocks that can participate in direction of my overall thesis. I share those with you on the weekly letters, monthly conference calls and quarterly playbooks. Moving forward, I'm going to be sending you individual deep dives into different US sub-sectors when I see something that stands out.

Today's deep dive analysis is on Media Stocks. This is a sub-sector of the overall Consumer Discretionary space:

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[Premium] Members-Only Conference Call Wednesday January 18th at 7PM ET

January 11, 2017

Every month I host a conference call for All Star Charts Premium Members where we discuss ongoing themes throughout the global marketplace as well as changes in trends where new positions would be most appropriate. This includes U.S. Stocks & Sectors, International Stock Indexes, Commodities, Currencies and Interest Rate Markets.

This year has started off how we wanted it to and I will be following up on many of the big ideas we discussed in the Q1 Playbook that I published in late December. I've spent most of this week doing a deep dive into a lot of the sub-sectors to find where some of the strength lies underneath the surface. A good example has been the strength Medical Devices within the underperforming Healthcare space. But there are several more out there that we'll talk about.

This month's Conference Call will be held on Wednesday January 18, 2016 at 7PM ET. Here are the Registration Details:

It's Not A New Year, It's Just A New Month

January 6, 2017

I'm extremely fortunate to have a front row seat to the most incredible display of human emotions in the history of mankind. Every day I get to watch markets move up and down based on fear and greed competing with one another at all times. One of the things I find most interesting is how humans tend to behave at the beginning of a perceived cycle. For you guys who think these psychological events don't impact the stock market, you're crazy. Seasonality is something I study very closely, particularly when markets ignore seasonal tendencies.

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[Premium] US Treasury Bonds Start The Year On Fire!

January 5, 2017

US Treasury Bonds have been a market that we've been watching very closely over the past couple of months. Remember this had been a favorite short of mine since the Summer, but all of our downside targets were hit in the 4th quarter. Since then, it has no longer been a short, and we've been waiting for it to set up to be a long for a mean reversion. Here is what is now going on this week:

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2016 Trade Ideas

December 31, 2016

Here is a list of trade ideas organized by date, ticker symbol and directional bias. Please make sure you have clicked on the link and read the details surrounding the trade before acting upon any of them. Also, make sure you have checked with your financial advisor and tax accountants to make sure you are suitable to be executing what is discussed on this website. The risk management procedures and targets are detailed for each idea. Please read and review the terms and conditions page before making any trades of your own.