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Here's this week's crypto roundup. It's an opportunity for us to take a step back, set aside the distractions, and delve into the key charts shaping the crypto complex.
This week, I walked through the good, the bad, and the ugly of this current environment.
Perhaps the near-term rise in rates makes it difficult to grasp, but the US benchmark yield is actually chopping within a broader corrective phase.
Before we dive into the charts, I want to make two things clear:
One, I am not an Elliottician or an Elliott Wave specialist on any level. And two, if you give five Elliotticians the same chart, you’re likely to get five different wave counts.
Nevertheless, my journey to earning the CMT designation exposed me to the Elliott Theory, and I find it prudent when examining the US 10-year yield.
I closed out eleven positions in five trading days. Unfortunately, many of them were losers. But the good news is all the losers were small (less than 1% of my portfolio capital each). Losers are never fun. But when they’re small, we will survive to trade again.
And the better news is that some of the exits this week represent the harvesting of large open profits. The size of the wins, while fewer in number, more than offset the sting of the losses.
When I’m doing it right, that’s how it’s supposed to work!
Check out my thoughts on the current market environment and the action among open trades in All Star Options in today’s Jam Session:
Stock market volatility is at the highest levels since October.
The majority of stocks are NOT in uptrends.
This market is NOT like it was last year.
In fact, coming into today, the majority of stocks on the NYSE are down for the year. Also 2/3rds of the stocks on the Nasdaq are negative for the year.
Go and count for yourself.
You'll quickly see that the majority of stocks in the Large-cap Nasdaq100 are down this year. Same for the Small-cap Russell2000 Index and the S&P Mid-cap 400.
Different markets call for different strategies.
Here's the $VIX hitting levels this week not seen since Halloween:
Berkshire Hathaway stock $BRK/B has traded down for eleven of the past thirteen trading days. That's not something you see often.
Call me sentimental, but watching implied volatility in Berkshire options creep up to its highest levels of the year feels like a gift to naked put sellers. So I'm going to take advantage.