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12 Charts You Need To Make Money In Gold

February 16, 2016

Precious metals are a sensitive subject in some circles. Discussions about gold or silver tend to bring out more anger and craziness than other assets. As someone who couldn't care less about what we're trading, Gold, Apple, Bonds, Australian Dollars or Go Pro, to me it's just letters and math. I find it kind of funny when people get extra sensitive about a specific asset. Precious metals bring out some of the most hilarious commentary.

Today, I want to break down Gold and Precious Metals from many different angles in order to put it into context from both a structural perspective and a shorter-term tactical outlook.

Your Road Map For This Yen Rally

February 16, 2016

From the desk of Thomas Bruni @BruniCharting

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With the Yen rallying nearly 10% from intraday low to high in as many days, this breakout is not one to be ignored. Since the Yen has  a strong negative correlation with US equities, this inter-market relationship is an important one to keep track of regardless of whether you trade currencies or not.

Structurally the Yen has been trading in a seven point range at and below the 2006-2007 lows for the last 15 months. Late last year prices confirmed a failed breakdown by breaking back above the 2005 & 2007 lows, as well as the downtrend line from the 2012 highs.

Over the past two weeks prices have accelerated to the upside, providing additional confirmation that this market is headed higher. As long as prices can hold above support outlined in gray (.0082), then the weight of evidence suggests the first upside target is near the 161.8% extension of the late 2014-2016 range and prior support near .0098-.0099.

U.S. Stocks Are Ready To Play Catch-Up

February 15, 2016

From the desk of Thomas Bruni @BruniCharting

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A few weeks ago global equity markets began to mean revert to the upside after many met downside targets and momentum positively diverged. For examples of this check out my posts from then here and here. The same failed breakdowns and bullish momentum divergences that sparked a rally globally are now present across many of the US sectors and indices.

Of the 41 US indices / sectors I follow, 28 of them have bullish momentum divergences on the daily charts and have either confirmed, or are working on confirming, a failed breakdown by trading back above a prior low.

Buy Twitter And Short The Rest Of Social Media

February 14, 2016

From the desk of Thomas Bruni @BruniCharting

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Twitter has been a disaster of a stock for the majority of its time as a public company, but recent price action suggests a tradable bottom may be in on an absolute and relative basis.

Before getting into the price action, it's worth acknowledging the continued deterioration in sentiment regarding this stock in recent months. I've been negative on the stock for a while, but with the downside targets I outlined here being met, I don't see a reason to be overly pessimistic on the stock at current levels. With price action improving in the face of another poor earnings report and another slew of analyst downgrades, it appears, at least anecdotally, that sentiment is overly bearish in this name.

With sentiment suggesting a neutral/bullish stance is appropriate, let's see what price is indicating.

Why I Want To Buy Disney Above 90.50

February 12, 2016

From the desk of Thomas Bruni @BruniCharting

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Regardless of how strong their brand may be, Disney continues to remain correlated to the S&P 500, as most stocks do during a bear market, and remains in a downtrend. Despite the neutral to bearish structural picture, the stock looks to be setting up for a tactical bounce in the coming weeks.

Structurally the stock remains range bound between 90 and the all-time highs at 122. During this recent selloff, prices retested the uptrend line from the 2009 lows, which also corresponded with the 38.2% retracement of the 2011-2015 rally. I don't believe in triple bottoms, and although this is the third time testing the $90 level, current evidence suggests the stock can stage a counter-trend rally before continuing to the downside.

Upcoming Technical Analysis Presentation Dates

February 11, 2016

Over the next month I will be giving several technical analysis presentations on the east coast and all of you are invited to join me. Some of you have seen me give these before, so just know that they are all different. I try and tailor the educational content to the current market environment that is obviously always evolving. Here are the upcoming dates and details: