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Small-caps do NOT matter

May 7, 2024

The Small-cap Indexes in America have had a tough time for a while now.

Since the start of 2022, both of these Small-cap Indexes have actually produced a negative return.

The S&P600 Small-cap Index requires companies to have a track record of earnings in order to be included in the index.

The Russell2000 lets anyone in. It doesn't matter how much money you lose, if your market cap is above $300 Million, then you're in.

Both of them have been terrible.

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A Golden Opportunity for the Bulls

May 6, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Stock market bulls are scooping and scoring as the Nasdaq Composite, the S&P 500, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average all show green. 

Stocks and rocks should benefit on the heels of renewed rate-cut hopes. 

Today, I’ll outline a name that checks both boxes. 

Spoiler alert: It’s a prime candidate for a short squeeze…

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The Minor Leaguers (05-06-2024)

May 6, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list now, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

All Star Charts Gold Rush

A Golden Opportunity for the Bulls

May 6, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Stock market bulls are scooping and scoring as the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow indexes all see green. 

Stocks and rocks should benefit on the heels of renewed rate-cut hopes. 

Today, I’ll outline a name that checks both boxes. 

Spoiler alert: It’s a prime candidate for a short squeeze…

Check out the precious metal trading company, A-Mark Precious Metals $AMRK:

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[Options Premium] Boarding a Rocket

May 6, 2024

Today's trade is in a name that currently sports a 15% short interest which equates to approximately 7 days to cover. This could be significant fuel for a blast off if the current post-earnings momentum propels this stock above 52-week highs.

The countdown to launch is ticking, so lets get involved.

Madison Avenue's Samaha Reports a $13 Million TBPH Buy

May 6, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today's list comes via two Form 4 filings by Eli Samaha, founder and managing partner of Madison Avenue Partners LP.

Samaha and Madison Avenue reported a purchase of $13 million in Theravance Biopharma $TBPH.

Sentiment No Longer a Headwind

May 6, 2024

It's amazing what price action can do to change sentiment.

We went from frothy optimism just a couple of months ago, to a much more pessimistic environment for investors.

This table below is a great summary of the different gauges we look at to measure sentiment and what they've done over the past month.

The blue diamonds are the current readings and the gray triangles represent where these were a month ago.

All Star Charts Crypto

🔍 Bitcoin Fails to Breakdown

May 6, 2024

I've been writing in recent weeks that the best course of action is to adopt a patient approach and let the tape setup more constructively.

Over the last few days, we've moved a step in the right direction. But equally, the high timeframe trends are still choppy especially with Bitcoin still testing its former 2021 highs. While this recent failed breakdown in Bitcoin could be indicative of the ending stages of this consolidation, we are also in the context of a longer-term sideways chop.

When it comes to Bitcoin, I'd like to see a breakout above 73,000 to confirm a new leg higher. But down the cap-scale, we could be seeing opportunities begin to emerge.

This will be an area of focus later in the week.

All Star Charts Crypto

Crypto Power Rankings for 5/3/2024

May 5, 2024

Every week, we create a Power Rankings table that lists the market-cap rank of the top 20 cryptocurrencies. This allows us to see the winners and losers as they climb the market-cap ladder.

All Star Charts Crypto

📈 Escalating Odds of a Crypto Selloff

May 5, 2024

Crypto markets are on the cusp of another leg lower in price action.

The technical picture paints a rather cautionary story with Bitcoin pressing to new lows.

I want to see crypto markets setup better before looking for longs once again.

Final Shakeout before the Ripper?

May 5, 2024

What's on your mind these days?

I'll tell you what I'm thinking about.

I'm used to a market where stocks struggle when the US Dollar are US rates are rising. And that's what we've seen all year.

And while the data certainly points to a market of stocks that have been grinding mostly sideways over the past few months, stocks haven't done nearly as bad as you'd think, considering just how strong the Dollar has been and how much rates have risen.

So the question for me is whether these consolidations are going to resolve higher or lower?

And what the implications might be....

A lower resolution here could be a massive tailwind for stocks.

Remember, during Election years, the market tends to bottom in May ahead of a very strong summer, particularly when there is an incumbent candidate.

If these resolutions are, in fact, to the downside, then that's exactly what I would expect to see happen: