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[Options] November Positions Review

November 2, 2020

As November gets under way, it’s time to review positions with November options that remain open (haven’t already hit profit targets or been stopped out).

Most trades I put on for All Star Options tend to have a minimum duration of 30 days (short premium plays) and often as long as 6-8 months (for long premium plays). As options approach expiration, greeks like theta and gamma start to become my enemy and whipsaw my P/L. Therefore, as options and spreads get into the expiration month, my best practice is to put each position on notice — it’s time to take action.

This month, we have four open positions with November options remaining on the books. All the rest have already hit their profit targets or stop loss levels. In the scoreboard below I denote the date we exited each position.

Here’s the scoreboard:

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Under The Hood (10-30-2020)

November 2, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome to our "Under The Hood" column for the week ended October 30, 2020.

What we do is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names. There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: A list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Whether we're measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers... there is a lot of overlap.

The bottom line is there are a million ways to skin this cat. Relying on our entire arsenal of data makes us confident that we're producing the best list each week and gives us more optionality in terms of finding the most favorable trade setups for our clients.

With the market coming under increasing pressure in recent weeks, in this report...

Index Construction Drives EM Outperformance

October 31, 2020

One of the most valuable parts of our day has become reading The Chart Report India daily email.

It's impossible to catch everything that's going on in the markets on a daily basis, but we know that The Chart Report India will help us stay on top of the most significant market insights.

In just a few minutes of reading, we get a recap of what the top technicians in the world are watching in the Indian markets.

Like this tweet below from Nautilus Research, which was featured in the October 28th daily email.

In this case, Emerging Markets outperformance has been something we've been talking about for a while, but seeing its isolated performance relative to Europe really helped highlight what's driving the weakness.

We wrote more about this relationship two days ago (Global Yields Weighing On Equities) and the post below will expand on our thoughts, this...

[Podcast] Technical Analysis Radio Interviews: Hedge Fund Manager, Mark Dow

October 30, 2020

Mark Dow has been a guest on this podcast more times than anyone else for a good reason. Selfishly I always enjoy chatting with him. His perspective is fascinating to me because he does such brilliant job of combining price behavior with sentiment analysis and the global macro intermarket backdrop.

Mark worked for the U.S. Treasury Department in charge of Emerging Markets in the early 90s before ultimately running money for a Global Macro Hedge Fund in New York City. So he has a lot of opinions on economics and politics, but he's great at not letting those things get in the way of his price behavior and sentiment analysis. He's figured out how to separate them but also use his expertise to his advantage. That's not any task.

I loved this conversation because we talked about how institutional investors are positioned coming into the U.S. election, how currencies and interest rates around the world are being affected, and in turn how they are affecting other asset classes. I ask him about Bitcoin and Gold and which one will win that battle. Of course, the US Dollar and Emerging Markets were part of the discussion (we can't help ourselves whenever we get...

[Options] Hold Your Fire

October 30, 2020

It's been a slow "ideas" week here at All Star Options for obvious reasons: the markets are getting destabilized ahead of the election and news flow on the Covid19 front.

As JC likes to remind us often -- there are no called strikes on Wall Street. We can sit in the batters box with the bat on our shoulders and just look at pitch after pitch without taking a swing.

This is one of those times.

Germany At The "Top" Of Our List

October 30, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Thanks to everyone who participated in this week's Mystery Chart.

Most of you said that you were buyers of this big base because we like to buy smiley faces, not sell them.

Unfortunately for you all I pulled the flip-flop on this week's chart and inverted it, so let's see what you were actually selling.

Mid-Cap Cyclicals Hit Supply

October 28, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

In this week's RPP Report we discussed some of the major developments recently such as the increasing bid for risk-on and reflationary assets, as well as continued rotation into more cyclical areas across all asset classes.

Our report focused mainly on Financials as well as some discussion regarding the recent outperformance from Small and Mid-Caps.

To follow up on this theme, today we'll dig into some other economically sensitive areas like Mid-Cap Industrials and Materials.

We'll take a look at the charts as well as the internals in these sectors in order to illustrate our current outlook.

Global Yields Weighing On Equities

October 28, 2020

In this post, we want to share some research that was provided to our US Subscribers, which attempts to explain why the difference in Interest Rates in Europe and the US is causing trouble in the markets.

Everything between the horizontal lines was written for US subscribers, so keep that in mind as you're reading it. The conclusion/takeaway for India is way at the bottom in bold.