Don't miss this weeks Momentum Report; our weekly summation of all the major indexes at a Macro, International, Sector and Industry Group level. As a reminder, we analyze this shorter-term data within the context of the structural trends at play.
This week we're looking at a long setup in the Metal sector. Several stocks in this sector are performing well with our Outperformers scan throwing up another popular name last week.
We retired our "Five Bull Market Barometers" in mid-July to make room for a new weekly post that's focused on the three most important charts for the week ahead.
This is that post, so let's jump into this week's edition.
The big news to end of the week is Ethereum completing this monster base and breaking out to new all-time highs.
For me, I don't care if we're talking about Crude Oil Futures, Apple or Tesla shares, Treasury Bond ETFs, Gold, Silver, Crypto....
It doesn't matter to me. It's just letters and math. All that other stuff isn't my problem.
The trade has been to be long ETHUSD if we're above those former highs from 2018. It was that simple. The risk was very well-defined and the potential reward was exponentially greater. That's what we look for. And so far, that strategy has worked well for us.
But now, while stocks are on holiday, Ethereum is really making a go of it:
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
Many of the same themes that we came across in last week's Commodity Report continue to play out.
Overhead supply keeps demand at bay while price churns sideways, offering mixed signals.
Like many areas of the market, Commodities are a bit messy.
While sideways price action and choppy market conditions are the norms at the moment, there is one consolidation in the Commodity space that demands our close attention.
As JC pointed out in last night's Monthly Strategy Session, one of the most important charts right now is the Copper/Gold ratio as its intermarket implications span far and wide.
Many financial assets made new highs in the first quarter. Gold and bonds did not. The drawdown they have experienced since their August highs has been remarkable - eclipsing 20% in the case of bonds, and approaching that level in the case of gold. In the Wall Street Journal’s list of Q1 winners and losers, long-term US bonds came in dead last (with a quarterly decline of 14%). For many conservative investors, this is their safe money and, especially for bonds, thought to be risk-free. The behavioral response to this will be interesting to track and may put further pressure on outdated passive portfolio management approaches.
Early in February, we had published a post discussing the Adani Group and its targets as well as risk management levels.
Seeing as this particular solar system is completing rotations and revolutions rather quickly, we thought it would be a good idea to revisit these stocks and track the updated levels for the weeks and months ahead.
Our equally weighted custom Adani Group Index has shown no sign of slowing down. The bullish trend is strongly in place and seems well on its way to the next higher level.
Click on chart to enlarge view.
Now let’s take a look at individual stocks and where they stand at present.
The weekend is when we open all our chartbooks and go through every chart in order to update or follow trends and sentiments as they build over the week. But sometimes, a few names pop up even before we hit the weekend research start button.
Today we will discuss two such names that seem to be displaying resilience in the market over the past couple of weeks.
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
I think we can all agree that the market is an absolute hot mess right now.
The Precious Metals complex is as good an example of this as any right now.
In this post, we’ll use this shiny group of commodities as a case study to illustrate the mixed signals we see not just here but in asset classes all over the globe these days.
It’s a major development, to say the least - so we’d be irresponsible not to monitor it closely as the way things resolve from here will likely have implications that span across markets, far and wide.
