In today's Flow Show, Steve Strazza served up the opportunity that is revealing itself in the financials space.
So we looked for some vehicles to express our bullish thesis, while being mindful of upcoming earnings releases that will be kicking of earnings season in less than two weeks.
This is no time to enter trades with undefined risk. But if we can minimize the volatility, it would be best to consider those options.
We think we have just the right idea in Morgan Stanley.
Last night was the big LIVE Event that I host at the beginning of every month.
There is no better way to start a new month, and in this case a new quarter, than going one by one and identifying the direction of primary trends for the world's most important stocks and assets.
Just for perspective, here are the S&P500 and Nasdaq100 Quarterly Candlesticks making new all-time highs, again.
As you can see, these are the types of things you tend to see in bull markets. You do NOT see them in bear markets.
We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.
For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.
That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.
We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.
To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list now, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.
Today's trade has all the ingredients for a monster breakout. This of course is no guarantee of a win, but if we're right, the payoff will be incredibly worth the risk.
We saw some of the most bullish sentiment readings in years. And this sentiment came after a historic rally for equities throughout the 4th quarter last year that couldn't miss. Everything was working.
But things can't just go up forever. They need to rest eventually, and reset some of that excessive optimism.
That's exactly what happened.
Despite some of the growth indexes making new highs, a lot of the most important groups of stocks have done absolutely nothing since February.
Look at Consumer Discretionary, Financials, Industrials and Healthcare trading sideways to down this entire time:
I've been maintaining a neutral short-term bias for the last five weeks, which has helped us keep away from much of the precarious action over this period. But I'm seeing mounting signs that point to a tradable low being carved, and as such, I'm changing our short-term bias from neutral to bullish.
Bitcoin is finding support at a key level alongside many altcoins. Further, this is within the context of a wider reset in a longer-term bull market.
