Hey everyone. If you caught our livestream this afternoon at the close, you saw the earnings trade I put on for $NVDA using options.
If you didn't watch us live, then you missed the trade, and it's too late now. No biggie. You can skip the rest of the note.
If you did watch, and either you're watching from the sidelines and interested in how it plays out, or you did take the trade, read on. We'll discuss how I'm going to handle the exit tomorrow morning.
As a reminder, this afternoon, we put on a put ratio spread (1 x 2) in $NVDA Aug 30 (weekly) options. We sold short one 125 put and purchased two 115 puts for a net credit of $1.15, right at the last minute before the closing bell.
In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.
But the scan doesn't just end there.
We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.
All eyes on Technology today, with $NVDA reporting earnings later this afternoon.
But I'd like to add some different perspective than what you might here on twitter or perhaps on these basic cable networks that no one watches anymore.
There's a reason people keep coming to us for answers.
First of all, let's keep in mind where Technology even is relative to where it's been.
This underperformance we've seen from Large-cap Tech started as soon as it hit the March 2000 highs relative to the S&P500.
It took Technology over 24 years just to get back to where it was at the peak of the dot com bubble.
And that's where we sit today (they won't show you this chart on basic cable):
Gold has not only been shining in absolute terms but is also dramatically outperforming the broader commodity complex.
While energy chops around in a multi-year range and cattle carve out a distribution pattern, the glittering ore refuses to quit printing new all-time highs.
We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.
For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.
That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.
We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.
Nowadays, to make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.