The next new position in our Paid-to-Play portfolio is:

This week we came right out of the gates with the Chart of the Decade.

The catalyst for stocks to have a sustained rally is a weaker US Dollar.

The market keeps proving that to be right.

And yes, I am aware that in the 1990s, a weaker Dollar was not the bullish catalyst for stocks.

But are you aware that this is not the 1990s?

It's 2022 and the correlation has been consistently negative between stocks and Dollars.

Until that changes, we're not going to fight it.

And while this week's chart was comparing the US Dollar to Emerging Market Currencies, in this post I want to focus on the more developed countries.

The Euro, British Pound and Yen represent 83% of the entire US Dollar Index.

The Euro and British Pounds both bottomed in late September, while the Yen put in its low last month.

Market breadth has to be the handiest tool in our technical analysis kit.

Sure, we love ripping through thousands of charts to gauge broad market trends. But breadth indicators are a cheat code. Putting in the work, we can easily quantify and, more importantly, visualize how well a market is being supported by its constituents.

Because remember, it will always be a market of stocks, not a stock market. Or, in this case, a market of cryptocurrencies.

There are numerous ways to optimize this data output; we can use this breadth data as the basis of a systematic approach.

Your trading system is only as good as your understanding of how well your system operates in different market environments.

If you understand that particular systems and strategies work better in trending environments but are terrible in rangebound markets, you can optimize your trading performance by leaning on different approaches depending on the market environment.

The largest insider transaction on today's list is a Form 4 filing by the CEO of Ryan Specialty Group Holdings $RYAN.

The chief executive revealed a purchase worth $6.1 million in the specialty insurance company.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

The S&P futures broke below 3,950, and now they're riding the eight-day moving average at 3,930.

So far, this is a healthy contraction, one that I've been looking for.

These are the registration details for our live mid-month conference call for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

Our next Live Call will be held on Monday November 21st at 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Monday night:

We debuted a new scan recently which goes by the name- All Star Momentum.

All Star Momentum is a brand new scan that guides us toward the very best stocks in the market. We have incorporated our stock universe of Nifty 500 as the base this time around. Among the 500 stocks that we follow, this scan will pump out names that are most likely to outperform the market.

If you're still asking what it will take to spark a sustained rally in equities, it's only because you're not paying attention.

How is it not the US Dollar?

Find me a stronger negative correlation with equities over the past half decade or so.

Todays chart focuses more specifically on the performance of US Dollars relative to Emerging Market Currencies.

Notice how whenever the Dollar goes down, stocks absolutely love it:

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

What a day.

The market pulled in from this morning's economic data, plus news out on semiconductors didn't help, either.

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Long-term yields are moving lower while short-term yields continue to rise. The spread between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields is the most negative it has been in over a decade. It has been four decades since the spread between 10-year and 2-year yields has been as negative as it is now.   

So we were talking about a guy who's apparently subsisting only on McDonald's patties for the next 30 days. Just the patty --- no bun, no condiments, no lettuce. He's trying to prove some kind of point that it's not McDonald's burgers that are unhealthy, it's everything else in a typical American's McDonald's order at the drive-thru window.

Ok. Whatever.

But all this "healthy McDonald's" talk got us thinking about the even healthier looking chart of its stock $MCD in recent weeks: