When I last wrote to you, I was mired in a spiral of frustration as I grappled with understanding what went wrong with one of my strategies, what I missed that opened the door to a larger-than-expected loss, and how to move forward.
I’m happy to report that I’ve come out the other side.
The only way out is through.
That’s always been true for me, at least.
My wife can attest: up until yesterday, for a week I’d been walking around like a grumpy zombie, lost in repetitive thought, running mind simulations of hundreds of scenarios and if/then situations. 99% of the ideas were just simple regurgitations of things I tried and failed at in the past. It takes tremendous effort for me to remind myself: been there, done that.
I often waste significant time and energy rehashing old tricks I’ve employed in the past that I’d already proven don’t work as intended. Being better about journaling and reviewing said journal regularly would probably help me out with this.
Dynamic Portfolio Update: Gold miners (GDX) are breaking down on a relative basis so we are selling the exposure we have there in the Tactical Opportunity Portfolio and re-deploying that capital to areas that continue to show leadership.
Coming into this week, we’ve seen more new highs than new lows every day so far this year. Improved breadth helped fuel a higher high for the S&P 500. But with the index dropping back into its December range and new highs struggling to expand, the going, for now, is getting rough.
And we're not talking about the kind of random pumps-and-dumps that happened throughout last year.
It's quite the opposite, actually.
Many coins have gone absolutely nowhere for quarters and are only now beginning to test the upper bounds of these long-term ranges.
Although this period has been incredibly lackluster in the number of directional trade ideas, the flipside is that many coins have had ample time to carve out long-term bases.
Like we always argue around here, we're better served by keeping it simple.
If this is truly the beginning stage of a new crypto bull market, buying resolutions out of these basing patterns will be a great strategy for the months and quarters ahead.