We've adjusted a position in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

Today's most significant insider transaction report is a Form 4 filing by Ares Management, which revealed a purchase of roughly $26.4 million in Frontier Communications Parent $FYBR.

The hedge fund now owns 36 million shares, which represents an ownership stake of 14.3%.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

We're seeing another gap up in the indices today.

I said on Monday that we could see window-dressing before quarter's end, and that's exactly what's going on.

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to the 2 to 100 Club.

As many of you know, something we've been working on internally is using various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

The market is trying to push past the 4,000 level on the $SPX.

If we can manage to hold, there's potential up to 4,039, then 4,050.

[9/7: updated stop to 48. We're already #FreeRiding here, so whatever we sell the remaining portion of the position for is pure profit!]

According to "the news," Americans can't afford to buy homes and rising mortgage costs will only deepen the problem.

Cool story, bro.

Do you know what disagrees? The price of virtually every publicly traded homebuilding company. We're already long Lennar and Toll Brothers which continue to work for us.

Next up is KB Homes $KBH, which appears to be on the verge of a big breakout following a welcome response to its recent earnings report.

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Commercial hedgers are taking an interest in the Canadian dollar. 

The CFTC has finally updated its records after the recent data breach.

And, as expected, we have some extreme positioning on our hands…

Check out the chart of Canadian dollar futures with the Commitment of Traders Report (COT) in the lower pane (red line for commercials, black for large speculators, and gray for small speculators):

Commercials hold their largest net-long position since early 2019. Extreme positioning such as this tends to mark key inflection points.

Why?

Because commercial hedgers represent the largest short sellers for any given market. And strong hands move markets.

We've adjusted a position in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

We had a resting GTC order filled at our profit target in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

You're seeing the permabears pointing to the Equally-weighted S&P500 falling down towards new 52-week lows relative to the Market-cap weighted version.

You can see what's happening here:

Today’s most significant insider transaction report is another Form 4 filing by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.A for Occidental Petroleum $OXY.

On Monday, Buffett disclosed an additional purchase of OXY shares worth roughly $216 million.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

We're seeing a decent-sized gap up this morning.

Now we have to see if the indices hold on to the gap or back and fill.