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Copper Hits New All-Time High

May 17, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Gold did its part earlier in the spring, paving the way for the rest of the metals space.

Now, silver is posting fresh decade highs, uranium names are triggering buy signals, and Dr. Copper is slicing through overhead supply. 

Plus, increasing copper demand has caught the smart money offside.

Check out copper futures with the Commitment of Traders profile in the lower pane:

Fading commercial (smart money) positioning tends to produce pain. 

But even the strongest hands can find themselves on the wrong side of a trade. It happened to commercial hedgers back in 2020, and it’s happening again today.

Copper experienced an explosive rally, adding a dollar-fifty as surging demand forced strong hands to unwind their shorts in 2020 and 2021.

If gold is heading to 5K, copper is making its way to eight bucks – but first, it must...

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Copper Hits New All-time High

May 17, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Gold did its part earlier in the spring, paving the way for the rest of the metals space.

Now, silver is posting fresh decade highs, uranium names are triggering buy signals, and Dr. Copper is slicing through overhead supply. 

Plus, increasing copper demand has caught the smart money offside.

Check out copper futures with the Commitment of Traders profile in the lower pane:

 

Fading commercial (smart money) positioning tends to produce pain. 

But even the strongest hands can find themselves on the wrong side of a trade. It happened to commercial hedgers back in 2020, and it’s happening again today.

Copper experienced an explosive rally, adding a dollar-fifty as surging demand forced strong hands to unwind their shorts in 2020 and 2021.

If Gold is heading to 5K, Copper is making its way to eight bucks – but first, it must exceed our rough initial target of 5.95.  

Here’s a closer look at copper’s multi-year base breakout:

 

Dr. Copper is blowing through those former highs from 2021 and 2022 in a similar fashion to the 2020 rip-roaring rally....

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[Options Premium] "Abroad"-ening Rally

May 17, 2024

As this bull market shows signs of resuming its march higher, we're setting our sights abroad because U.S. stocks don't have a monopoly on great setups. There are some great companies overseas that trade here in the U.S. that are also setting up for great stock rallies.

Today's trade is in a biopharma name.

Director Kim Buys 25,000 TRDA Shares

May 17, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The only insider buy on today's list comes via a Form 4 filing by Entrada Therapeutics Inc $TRDA director Peter S. Kim.

Kim reported the acquisition of 25,000 shares, equivalent to $364,672, in the small-cap biotech company.

All Star Charts Crypto

📈 Smart Money are Buying this Token

May 16, 2024

I can't help but notice the growing attention around real world assets (RWAs), more specifically the relative strength coming from this space and the backing of many prominent funds and investors.

All Star Charts Crypto

Crypto Power Rankings for 5/17/2024

May 16, 2024

Every week, we create a Power Rankings table that lists the market-cap rank of the top 20 cryptocurrencies. This allows us to see the winners and losers as they climb the market-cap ladder.

Sit On Your Hands!

May 16, 2024

In today’s Options Jam Session, we reviewed how the profits from one delta-neutral credit spread more than paid for the losses on another, and I demonstrated what to do with a big winner that has the potential to pay for a lot more losses while still leaving us in the green!

This is how trader math works. Lose frequently and small, win occasionally and big. That simple heuristic is the key to long-term success.

But of course, it’s not easy.

We have to battle against our strong urges to close out winning trades too soon.

In fact, in the $APH trade that I demonstrated in today’s session, you’ll see there were several opportunities for me to get scared and pull the trigger to exit BEFORE our big profits accrued. This is why having an unemotional plan in place ahead of time is so valuable.

Next to individual trading plans, these weekly review sessions are one of the most valuable things I do each week to keep myself on track with my...

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Bonds Trigger a Tactical Buy

May 16, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Rates are rolling over… 

And bonds are catching a bid.

After four months of steady selling pressure, US Treasuries are finally carving out a tradeable low.

Let’s take a look!

Regardless of duration, the following bond charts present an identical tactical approach.

Two key themes dominate these trade setups: entry points designated by price reclaiming the February 2024 lows and initial targets set at the December 2023 highs.

Of course, there’s always an exception…

Check out the US 30-year T-bond futures:

Like the following charts, we can measure our risk at a key pivot low from late February.

I like buying T-bond futures against 117’27. But instead of targeting the December 27th high of 125’30, I prefer to aim at a critical shelf of former lows at approximately 122’30.

If and when price manages...