From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by Magnolia Capital Fund.

The investment firm revealed a purchase of $2.5 million in America's Car-Mart Inc $CRMT.

Good morning, Welcome to your daily crypto clarity

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making new highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that exhibit the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

However, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

Perhaps the title of this post is a bit dramatic. But it got your attention, yeah?

While the indexes continue to plow higher and higher, proving markets can stay irrational longer than bears can stay solvent, there continues to be signs piling up that a turn may be near at hand.

We're not saying that the long bull market is coming to an inglorious and permanent end. We're more of the belief that a well-deserved pause and/or pullback feels like a perfectly natural thing to happen somewhere around here.

So we're going to add another bearish bet to the board in a stock that is already showing signs of topping in a sector that might be ready to roll over.

In today's Daily Digest, we'll review:

1. New Position in XHB.
2. No adjustments are needed today.
3. Exits in GDX and XLB.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let's dig in!

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The most significant transaction on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by Farhad Nanji, director at RXO Inc $RXO.

Nanji revealed a purchase of 747,424 RXO shares, equivalent to $15 million.

Market breadth can be a funny thing.

People think it's easy. People think they can just pull up some indicator and it's always going to tell them whether market breadth is good or bad.

But that's not how it works. Some indicators are more valuable in certain environments than others.

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

King Dollar reigns supreme, and its near-term rally shows no sign of slowing.

What can you do about it? 

You can profit from it.

Today, I’ll share with you three tactical setups for dollar strength. And they’re all close to triggering.

But, before I outline the trades, let’s look at the relationship between the dollar and stocks…

Last night, Alfonso dropped a stellar chart in Slack of the US Dollar Index $DXY overlaid with Consumer Staples $XLP relative to the S&P 500 $SPY:

The chart supports the inverse relationship between stocks and the US dollar that’s been in place for almost a decade.

In today's Daily Digest, we'll review:

1. New Position in IWM.
2. No adjustments are needed today.
3. No exits since the last report.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let's dig in!

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The most significant transaction on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway.

Buffett and Berkshire reported another substantial purchase in Occidental Petroleum Corp $OXY, this time with a total value of $245  million.

As crypto markets continue to churn sideways following the Bitcoin spot ETF approvals, positioning data suggests a once-crowded consensus bullish sentiment has cooled down. This comes within the context of Bitcoin retesting its long-term resistance level near 46,000. It’s within these periods that excessive positioning and sentiment calms down and allows the market to recalibrate for its next move.

Another day goes by in the market, and more selling came in.

Investors are making a habit of this whole selling thing.

You notice?

In yesterday's trading we saw the fewest amount of stocks in longer-term uptrends since mid-December. We also had the fewest stocks in short-term uptrends since mid-November.

You may not see the selling pressure as much at the index level, but for those of you who actually take the time to count what the stocks themselves are doing, you know.

Take a look at the new highs list, essentially non-existent throughout the month of January, even with the S&P500 and Dow hitting the highest levels ever.

You can also see the divergences in Consumer stocks, Small-caps and Emerging Markets currencies: