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Gold Rush Research Reports

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[Weekly Gold Rush] The Golden Gambit

November 18, 2024

Gold futures have been down in 6 out of the last 8 sessions since the winner of the U.S. Presidential Election was announced.

The US Dollar Index $DXY has been adding fuel to the selling pressure as it has screamed higher toward the upper bound of a multi-year range.

However, the dollar is entering one of its weakest seasonal periods of the year and should start serving as a tailwind for our shiny rocks.

And if the dollar is about to roll over, our equal-weight basket of precious metal stocks will likely resolve its multi-decade base and make new all-time highs:

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[Weekly Gold Rush] Gold Bugs Take Cover

November 11, 2024

We recently discussed gold achieving its second target since it put the finishing touches on a massive base earlier this year.

It wasn't clear how the price would react to our target, but sure enough, the sellers showed up right on cue.

But the weight of the evidence continues to suggest this bull market has legs and it's better to spend our time looking for buying opportunities, not selling opportunities.

Let's talk about the recent price action and what it means for our portfolios:

 

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[Bonus Gold Rush] Is This A Bubble?

November 6, 2024

We all know it has been a bull market, but how sustainable is it?

In today's Gold Rush video, we addressed the elephant in the room. Is this a bubble?

Additionally, we revisited some of the greatest bubbles of all-time and tied it back to the current environment.

One of our favorite historic bubble examples is silver in the late 1970s:

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[Weekly Gold Rush] Another Price Target Achieved

November 4, 2024

It was only 8-months ago when gold futures put the finishing touches on a massive basing pattern. 

Since then, we've seen the yellow rock rally over 30% to new all-time highs and achieve two of our price targets. 

In addition, the bellwethers of the industry like Wheaton Precious Metals have moved into blue-sky territory and the junior miners have posted bullish momentum thrusts.

And we're betting on participation continuing to expand for precious metals stocks and futures contracts like palladium.

Let's talk about it:

 

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Gold is Dominating Every Currency

October 28, 2024

Despite bond yields and dollars screaming higher and reaching overbought conditions, stocks and precious metals rallied during what is historically the worst time of the year. 

During a bad seasonal period, junior gold and silver mining stocks had their best week since 2020, and silver printed fresh multi-year highs.

The bulls' ability to maintain control during a historically weak period speaks to the strength and resilience of this market.

Let's talk about the demand we're seeing for precious metals around the world and a few of our favorite trade ideas right now:

 

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It's Time For Digital Gold To Shine

October 21, 2024

Digital gold has churned sideways at its prior cycle high, while gold and risk assets have enjoyed a sweet leg higher over the last half-year.

It would be strange for this bull market cycle to end without Bitcoin enjoying a blue-sky breakout.

So, if it's a bull market, shouldn't Bitcoin and friends be participating?

Yes. We're betting that crypto is about to reach escape velocity and have an epic catch up.

Let's talk about it:

 

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We're Buying Junior Silver Miners

October 7, 2024

A couple of weeks ago, we talked about Silver futures attempting to emerge from a multi-year accumulation pattern and potentially retesting the former all-time high.

Last week,  Silver made a new multi-decade high in absolute terms and broke a multi-year downtrend line relative to Gold. 

And if the 47th element is about to blast off, we should look closer at the Junior Silver Miners.

But first, check out this chart of the Silver/Gold ratio:

 

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There's Little Buzz About Gold. But There Should Be.

October 2, 2024

Despite the recent volatility, gold continues its steady ascent, unaffected by the broader market noise. 

As seasonals have shifted and new leadership has come and gone this year, gold remains resilient, moving through market regimes with ease.

Whether stocks rally or risk-off sentiment prevails, gold thrives. The yellow metal has been red-hot all year.

In these times, the saying goes, "there is no fever like gold fever." 

But, is there any evidence of this kind of euphoria among investors yet?

While the COT report suggests sentiment may be overstretched, let’s talk about what we’re seeing on the ground.

There’s little buzz about gold in the financial media. No bold predictions of $10K gold on magazine covers, no headlines touting it as the ultimate safe haven in an impending crisis—signals that often show up at market tops. We’re just not seeing it.

For context, in 2011, fears of currency depreciation were rampant. The covers of TIME magazine and Smart Money allow us to remember this moment. They came right at the top.

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Speculators Haven't Owned This Much Gold Since 2020

September 30, 2024

Large Speculators haven't owned this much Gold since 2020. We have the data.

In precious metal bull markets, it's perfectly normal for Commercial Hedgers to offset their physical positions by shorting the underlying futures contracts.

We also tend to see the Speculators build massive net-long positions.

Check out the extreme Commercial Hedger net-short position in Gold and Silver futures:

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It's Time to Buy Silver

September 23, 2024

Gold futures have been relentlessly rising and printing new all-time highs. The precious metal is now overbought on a 14-day, week, and month RSI. 

We've recently seen Palladium rip over 20% in a few days and momentum thrusts for the Junior Gold & Silver Miners ETFs.

With this new Gold bull market now almost 7 months old, maybe it's time for Silver futures to break out of their multi-year range.

Let's talk about it:

 

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Best Week Since 2020 For Junior Gold & Silver Miners

September 16, 2024

Last week, Palladium surged nearly 20% after we discussed buying the futures, and Gold reached a new all-time high.

In response, precious metals mining stocks ripped higher for their best week since 2020.

The momentum behind some of these moves is absurd. For example, CDE, GATO, AG, and NGD all rallied over 30% last week.

Let's talk about what we're doing about it: