From the desk of Willie Delwiche.
“This Is A Test. This Is Only A Test.”
The S&P 500 this month and last undercut its June low but it is now back above that key level. The same can be said from a sentiment perspective. The NAAIM Exposure index and the Bull-Bear spreads for Investors Intelligence and AAII in recent weeks dipped below their Q2 lows but have since recovered.
Why It Matters: Important lows often get re-visited one last time before trends turn and rallies become sustainable. It will be a lot easier for stocks to build on recent strength if optimism is increasing. It does indeed take bulls to have a bull market. Confirmation that this was just a test is twofold: staying above the Q2 lows and continued improvement beneath the surface (including seeing more stocks make new highs than new lows).
In this week’s Sentiment Report we take a closer look at how investors are feeling and how (if at all) we can take advantage of it.