From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Grant Hawkridge @GrantHawkridge
Following an onslaught of bullish initiation readings for US stocks last year, global equity markets began to register similar breadth thrusts earlier this year.
In this post, we'll take a look at those thrusts in addition to the current state of international stock market internals.
We'll even take a quick look at some of the differences we're seeing take place beneath the surface in various global markets.
Something we’ve been working on internally this year is using various bottoms-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. One way we’re doing this is by identifying stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small, to mid, to large, and ultimately to mega-cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B) they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.
But the scan doesn’t just end there. We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.
Dividend aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street. These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to longer-term minded shareholders.
As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world. Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.
Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That’s why we’re turning our attention to the future aristocrats. In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we’re curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for 5-9 years.
We call them the Young Aristocrats, and the idea is that these are “stocks that pay you to make money”. Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum & relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.
In our continued effort to identify individual equities that fit within our larger Macro thesis, we recently rolled out our latest bottoms-up scan: "The Minor Leaguers."
We write a post every other week where we outline some of our favorite setups from this universe of stocks.
We've already had some great trades come out of this column and couldn't be happier about the early feedback.
Moving forward, we'll be rotating this column with "Under The Hood" each week.
In order to make it onto our Minor League list, you must have a market cap between $1 and $2B. There are also price and liquidity filters.
Then, we simply sort the stocks by their percentage from new highs. Easy done.
Our Top 10 report was just published. In this weekly note, we highlight 10 of the most important charts or themes we're currently seeing in asset classes around the world.
Bifurcation Looms In The Currency Complex
As the US Dollar has caught a bid in recent weeks, our custom equal-weight index of the G-10 currencies is finding resistance at a perfectly logical level. We’re receiving bifurcated signals from the currency complex all-in-all, as many risk-on currencies are approaching key inflection points. In saying this, the currencies that have held up the best during the Dollar’s recent bout in strength have been those more closely tied with commodity-rich economies. This adds credence to our global growth and Commodity Supercycle thesis.
Check out this week's Momentum Report, our weekly summation of all the major indexes at a Macro, International, Sector, and Industry Group level. By analyzing the short-term data in these reports we can take a more tactical view in order to better understand and gain insight into the structural trends at play.
Let's jump right into it with some of the major takeaways from this week's report:
* ASC Plus Members can access the Momentum Report by clicking the link at the bottom of this post.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley.
We held our April Monthly Strategy Session Thursday night which Premium Members can access and rewatch here.
For these calls, we really take a step back and put things in the context of their structural trends by focusing only on Monthly charts. This is easily one of our most valuable exercises.
In this post, we’ll provide a summary of the call by highlighting three of the most important charts and topics we covered along with commentary on each.
Welcomeback to our “latest Under The Hood” column for the week ended April 2, 2021. As a reminder, this column will be published bi-weekly moving forward, and rotated on-and-off with our new Minor Leaguers column.
In this column, we analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names. There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: A list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
Many of the same themes that we came across in last week's Commodity Report continue to play out.
Overhead supply keeps demand at bay while price churns sideways, offering mixed signals.
Like many areas of the market, Commodities are a bit messy.
While sideways price action and choppy market conditions are the norms at the moment, there is one consolidation in the Commodity space that demands our close attention.
As JC pointed out in last night's Monthly Strategy Session, one of the most important charts right now is the Copper/Gold ratio as its intermarket implications span far and wide.
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
I think we can all agree that the market is an absolute hot mess right now.
The Precious Metals complex is as good an example of this as any right now.
In this post, we’ll use this shiny group of commodities as a case study to illustrate the mixed signals we see not just here but in asset classes all over the globe these days.
It’s a major development, to say the least - so we’d be irresponsible not to monitor it closely as the way things resolve from here will likely have implications that span across markets, far and wide.