Our boy Bruni did a deep dive into the Cybersecurity space recently and served up a bunch of names that are setting up well to lead the market higher. Importantly, earnings are on the horizon which offers both an opportunity for a positive catalyst, as well as the need to tread carefully if the sector disappoints. We've got a plan for that...
The third new trade we teased during our most recent All Star Options conference call has rewarded our patience, offering us a better entry point. And we're gonna lean into this one...
A leader during the last bull run appears to be setting itself up to resume its leadership once again. During our February All Star Options conference call, we laid out a patient play for participating in the next leg higher, should one materialize. We're ready to start jumping in.
This move in $IYR (iShares US Real Estate ETF) is incredible, and we might go higher from here still. But I'm willing to bet a mild retracement will soon be at hand -- or at the very least we'll see a pause.
As the calendar turns to February, it is time to review our handful of open positions with Feb options that are nearing expiration and might require some attention.
Sticking with a theme we started the week with, if the market is poised for higher prices, they will likely be led by the Medical Devices space. Putting our money where our mouths are, we're taking a shot that will be a home run if it plays out, while offering us room to be wrong without losing too much.
If the worst is over for the stock market, then definitely one of the areas we want to be getting long is the medical devices sector. There are a lot of stocks here that have shown relative strength and are at or near all-time highs. If US stocks go higher from here, this sector will definitely lead the way.
We're about five weeks out from the start of Carnival in Rio de Janeiro, but the Brazilian stock market ETF $EWZ looks like it wants to get a head start on the party. And its one of the few places in the Western hemisphere pricing in muted volatility. This sets up a nice opportunity.
We’ve had quite a bounce in US equities since the beginning of the year. And the longer this bounce holds, the more appealing the long side gets. However, it still doesn’t alleviate the very real risk that we might be in what could best be described as a classic bear market bounce. And if that is true, the downside from here on any newly initiated long positions could be severe.
In addition to broader indices, there are certain bellwether stocks we monitor continually to offer better clues as to the strength or weakness of the market. One such stock we monitor has not followed along with the prevailing winds in the market since the beginning of the year and according to our view, is at serious risk if the market were to pause and/or resume back to the downside.
From where I sit, the likelihood of a pause in this bounce is pretty high right now, and becomes even more so with each new closing high for 2019. So with the potential for a significant pullback rising, now feels like a great time to take a shot on a short position in this struggling bellwether.
The bounce in US stocks continues off the Christmas Eve low, but it is showing signs of short-term exhaustion. Does this mean we go right back to lows? Not necessarily. I'm in the camp that some sideways chop would be constructive for the markets overall. As such, I'm in the mode of looking for smart delta neutral trading plans.