The gloom and doom on twitter over the weekend was pretty epic wasn't it?
And it's probably well-deserved.
The S&P500 just went out at new 22-month lows.
Gold investors were convinced by con artists that it was an inflation hedge, when it turned out to be the exact opposite all along - closing the month at new 2-year lows.
And of course, the greatest Ponzi ever - US Treasury Bond Market going out at the lowest levels since 2013:
With Bonds getting destroyed this year, it's put pressure on growth stocks, because of their long-duration characteristics.
As rates rise, it puts a lot of pressure on growth stocks. That's why historically the more Value oriented stocks and sectors tend to outperform when rates are rising.
When rates are falling that's when growth stocks usually thrive the most.
We all know this. The data is free.
BUT, a funny thing has happened over the last few months.
With bonds continuing to collapse and breaking those summer lows, the Nasdaq has been outperforming the S&P500.
I was in the city yesterday for a few meetings and dropped by Fox Business to have a little chat with Charles Payne.
Charles is one of the few who let me talk about whatever I want. No agenda. Just price action.
I appreciate that.
It was just a short hit. But we talked about the seasonal tailwinds for stocks, how a stronger Dollar means stocks will remain under pressure, and what Financials and Homebuilders are telling us about the market.
We got just a little bit of Dollar weakness starting in mid-July and stocks ripped higher. Thousands of points added to the Dow, Ethereum doubled and the average stock on the Nasdaq rallied over 40%.
We saw one of the most historic short-squeezes in history. And all it took was just a little bit of Dollar weakness. It wasn't even that much.
But then once that Dollar strength came back last month, the bid in stocks and crypto disappeared.
Here's a zoomed out look at the negative correlation between stocks and the Dollar: