In June we outlined a thesis for the Mid and Small-Cap segment of the market to begin outperforming in a meaningful way. In that post, we outlined a number of stocks we were buying to take advantage of that theme, but many are well on their way to their upside objectives already.

Today we want to follow up on that theme, show why it's still intact, and outline stocks with an attractive reward/risk at current levels.

We've written extensively about what the Large-Cap/Small-Cap ratio means and how we interpret it. If you haven't read them, I'd highly recommend checking them out before continuing with this post (June 9th post and June 19th post)

But, to sum it up the idea here is that Small-Cap outperformance is associated with a Bull Market in Indian Equities because it signifies risk appetite among market participants and a broad-based market rally that has sufficient participation from sectors/industry groups.

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

At the beginning of each week we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and give our outlook and some of the things we're watching for in the week ahead.

This week, we're going to highlight our US Index and Sector ETF tables and focus on the rotation we're seeing into more offensive areas of US Equities. We'll then tie this into what we're seeing across the FICC universe.

The stocks in the Dow Jones Transportation Average are getting the bid that they needed for this overall market to continue its march higher. Going back and doing the work, it's hard for stocks as a group to keep ripping without rotation into some of the underperforming areas. Transports were right near the top of our underperformer list for a long time.

This is no longer the case. We've already talked about how Transports were the best performermers in the world for the month of July. This weekend we also pointed to the change in trend relative to the S&P500.

Today, let's look deeper into the components of the Dow Jones Transportation Average. Remember there are 20 of them and consist of Airlines, Rails, Trucks, Logistics etc. This chart plots the drawdown from 52week highs on the x-axis and the y-axis represents the performance since June 5th, which was the former highest weekly close for the index:

Click on Chart to Zoom in

We retired our "Five Bull Market Barometers" in mid-July to make room for a new weekly post that's focused on the three most important charts for the week ahead.

This is that post, so let's jump into this week's edition.

I don't know if I've made myself clear enough. It's getting pretty obnoxious at this point isn't it?

We talk about this internally sometimes (ahem strazza), that we sound like a broken record.

My response is that we should be aware of our own behavior. The simple fact that we are recognizing, that yes, we are indeed being super annoying and just saying the same things over and over again, is information. It's really important to identify that.

Why? What does this mean? To me, it means that what's been working keeps working. And what needed to start working for those things to continue are working now too.

Exhibit A has to be the Dow Jones Transportation Average breaking out to new highs BEFORE the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Wait, What???? New phone who dis? 

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome to this week's edition of "Under The Hood." You can read more about the column here.

What we do is analyze the most popular Robinhood stocks over the trailing week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

This was another interesting week as the market continues to grind higher with zero regard for whatever bad news is thrown at it. With the S&P 500 knocking on the door of new all-time highs, let's take a look at what Robinhood investors were buying this week.

One thing I've learned very quickly through writing this column each week is that contrary to popular opinion, these Robinhood investors are more often than not on the right side of the trend.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Precious Metals are getting all of the Commodity attention these days, but the truth is there is a lot more opportunity in the space than just Metals.

In this post, I want to outline why we think Natural Gas is in a new bull market and how we're taking advantage of it.

Here's the weekly chart of Natural Gas we've been using as a roadmap for the last few years. In March, prices approached long-term support near 1.60 and volatility began to pick up, signaling to us that a trend change was potentially underway. And on top of that, momentum failed to get oversold which suggested sellers were getting exhausted.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

The Fixed Income, Commodity, and Currency markets are near and dear to my heart. Ever since I began learning Technical Analysis, I've always loved analyzing things that are "off the beaten path." This included everything from Interest Rates to Soybeans to the Norwegian Krone. Equities are great and all, but this is the stuff that gets me up in the morning.

In addition to the blog posts we do on the site, I've wanted to explore new ways to share that passion with you all and show why even if you're not investing in these markets directly, they're worth paying attention to.

That brings us to my new weekly show, "What The FICC?"

In this weekly video series, I'll be highlighting the most important chart or theme from these three asset classes while doing my best to tie that analysis back to Equities through an intermarket signal or a trade idea.

The first two pilot episodes are linked down below. I hope you enjoy them and look forward to seeing you all back here each week for a new episode!

There has been a lot of opportunity in Commodities lately, particularly in Precious Metals and Base Metals, after years of nothing.

Today we want to highlight the strength in Natural Gas, a theme we've been pointing to most of this year but that's now accelerating.

Let's take a look at what's happening and how we can take advantage of it.

Here's the chart we were using as our roadmap at the beginning of the year as prices approached long-term support near 115. Additionally, we were seeing momentum stay out of oversold territory, signaling that sellers were unable to stay aggressive and take prices to new lows.

Click on chart to enlarge view. 

We've been selectively participating in a few Steel stocks over the last few months as we waited for a signal to get more aggressive in the space.

Yesterday we got that signal as the Nifty Metal Index broke out to new recovery highs and reclaimed support on a relative basis.

In this post, we're going to outline what we're seeing in the sector and what we're buying to take advantage of this theme.

First, let's start with Base Metals (read for context), which continue to trend higher along with Precious Metals. In July when we were talking about them, we were staying very selective in the Nifty Metal space because it hadn't yet broken out despite the strength in Commodities.

This is a behind the scenes video of our team meeting held on July 6, 2020 4PM ET.

Every quarter we put out our Playbook focusing on the most important themes around the world to take advantage of, and just as importantly, which areas to avoid. This is usually about 150 pages and really dives deep into stocks, rates, commodities, forex and the intermarket relationships between all of them.

I hope this gives you some perspective on how we approach markets using our Top/Down Approach. We've always found it helpful to understand where people are coming from and why they say certain things. I hope this can give you some of that context about us. I think it also helps you get to know our team a little better. Enjoy!

Premium Members can access all of July Monthly Candles in our Chartbook, but in this post, we want to outline a few of the ones that stood out to us across the Equity, Currency, and Commodities space.