The market remains in a volatile territory. We have just a few industry groups which continue to show relative strength. The defense sector is one of them.
This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow. In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish but NOT both.
We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.
Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.
We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.
We’ve had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.
We recently decided to expand our universe to include some mid-caps…
For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.
That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.
The way we did this is simple…
To make the cut for our new Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.
As we progress into Q1 of Fiscal Year 2022-2023, this playbook outlines our thoughts on every asset class and our plan to profit.
This playbook will cover our macro view, touching on Equities, Commodities, Currencies, and Rates, as well as outline our views on the major nifty indices and the sector/thematic indices.
We also cover individual stocks we want to be buying to take advantage of the themes discussed in the playbook.
We get to talk to a lot of traders and investors every single day. I like to listen.
In the first chart, we have what seems to be the consensus view. Investors fear that we're going to complete this top in the S&P500 sending prices down even lower.
Do you agree? We break 4100 and down we go?
Or could it be like the second chart, and all this support holds?
Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.
These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.
It has all the big names and more.
It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that which you can check out here.
The Hall of Famers is simple.
We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.
The largest insider transaction on today's list comes to us in a Form 4 filing by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.A.
Buffett continues to grow his position in Occidental Petroleum $OXY. He just revealed an additional purchase that brings his total ownership to 226 million shares, representing a 12.15% interest.
Stocks are having a tough time these past few weeks. Selling pressure is not just accelerating; it’s spreading.
Even the leaders aren’t providing shelter from this latest storm…
A lot of the commodity stocks we’ve been focusing on for long exposure in recent months are experiencing significant volatility and are now back below our risk levels.
We want to be patient and wait for the dust to settle for most of these trades.
While this is the case for the majority of stocks right now, there are always pockets of strength.
The most obvious among them right now is energy. The resilience from energy continues to impress us.
Today, we’re going to outline long ideas in a popular exploration & production name as well as an international bank stock.
The US Dollar Index $DXY is ripping to its highest level in 20 years today.
We just covered this dollar strength and what it means in our Currency Report, which you can read here.
We talk about the implications of a stronger dollar on risk assets, particularly stocks.
While this rally in the dollar is definitely not a good thing for stocks in the US or abroad, we see these intermarket relationships dislocate all the time.
Could stocks and the dollar rally higher together? Sure! Commodities and the dollar have already been doing this for several quarters now...