Markets across the globe have been taking a breather as the momentum cools off. Taking a closer look back home, the indices have been largely choppy and have consolidated over the past two months.

Is this merely a consolidation? Or are we looking at a minor correction ahead? Let's take a look at what the charts have to say.

In our Three Charts for the Week post, we talked about the resistance Nifty had been facing at 15,400 and also highlighted the crucial support at 14,460. We noticed a divergence in Nifty in January and that has continued to play out as the rally progressed. Within the current setup, the price hasn't been able to move past the 15,400 mark, in addition to now challenging the support level of 14,460.

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

We continue to reiterate the same themes and pillars that support our bullish macro thesis. This would include an abundance of evidence pointing to risk appetite, rising developed market yields, strength from commodities, and of course the ongoing rotation toward cyclicals, value, and international stocks, among others...

Just about anywhere we look, we're seeing investors gravitate further and further out on the risk spectrum.

How often have we heard that sector rotation is the lifeblood of a bull market? Too often! And there's a reason why it's necessary to repeat this statement. At different stages of a cycle, varied variables are at play. This means that every sector will not move in a uniform manner.

Over the past three months, IT has been consolidating as other sectors took the lead. With sector rotation at play, it seems like IT is back in the mix.

Let's take a look at what IT is doing relative to Nifty 100. After breaking out of an almost 12-year base, Nifty IT has been holding on to the high levels displaying inherent strength. Bouncing off its support the ratio chart favours a positive move in this index going forward.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Louis Sykes @haumicharts

The same strong rotational currents that have been in place in the US since last summer have finally begun to spill over to International stocks... but, not all of them.

For the first time in about a decade, evidence suggests that stock markets around the world have finally built a strong foundation relative to their US counterparts, and might just be ready for a sustained period of outperformance.

How big the move will be and how long it will last are always some of the most difficult variables to predict. We can merely position ourselves accordingly based on the information we do have, and then be keenly aware of new data points as they come in, and constantly re-evaluate and adjust our outlook as appropriate.

As for the potential structural bull-to-bear reversal in the long-running trend of outperformance from US stocks... the seeds have definitely been planted for such a development to occur.

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to our “latest Under The Hood” column for the week ended March 19, 2021. As a reminder, this column will be published bi-weekly moving forward, and rotated on-and-off with our new Minor Leaguers column.

In this column, we analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names. There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: A list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

What's the FIRST question investors should ask themselves and have a clear and concrete answer to before putting money in the market?

It is literally step one. The cornerstone of any strategy or trading plan...

What is my objective?

Every investor should examine this thoughtfully and keep it top of mind to ensure that their investment decisions are aligned with their investment goals.

Usually, the answer is pretty simple and comes down to maximizing returns, or more importantly minimizing losses, in a way that fits within each individual's unique preferences.

But as we'll explore in this post, this isn't always the case, and sometimes it can be a bit nuanced - as is the case with Environmental, Social, and Governance investment strategies.

So as an exercise let's put ourselves in the shoes of ESG investors and ask a few simple questions...

We debuted a new scan recently- The Outperformers.

The Outperformers is our newest scan that pinpoints the very best stocks in the market. It’s the fastest, easiest way to find quality names that are primed for major moves.

The goal is that as the market rally progresses, the sector rotation within the market will reflect in this scan. So while our Top/Down Analysis helps us with the broader view of the market, this Bottom/Up scan makes sure that we catch the slightest change in sentiment.

Two things we've been pointing to this week are the potential failed breakouts in Small-caps and Micro-cap stocks, which would confirm a series of bearish momentum divergences. And also the relative strength out of Consumer Staples throughout March, which is something we haven't seen in a long long time....

Remember, Consumer Staples outperforming is consistent with a market environment where stocks are under pressure.

Here's that chart showing Staples potentially confirming a rare "Diamond" reversal pattern relative to the S&P500:

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley.

We recently held March’s Monthly Conference Call which our Premium Members can access and rewatch here.

In this post, we’ll provide a summary of the call by highlighting 5 of the most important charts/topics we covered along with commentary on each.

Let’s dive into it.

One thing we want to watch out for is this recent relative strength in Consumer Staples. I don't think it's necessarily time to sound the alarm just yet, but continued relative strength out of this group is not consistent with higher stock prices.

Now, a couple of weeks doesn't make a trend. But it is curious to see this one not confirming the new lows that the rest of them are putting in:

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

The market continues to fire on all cylinders right now. Last week's gains were nothing but a continuation of the same resiliency and momentum we've come to expect from risk assets over the last year.

This is the video recording of the March 2021 Conference Call.