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The Minor Leaguers (05-24-2021)

May 24, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to our latest Minor Leaguers report.

We've already had some great trades come out of this Small-Cap focused column since we launched it late last year and began rotating it with our flagship bottoms-up scan, "Under The Hood."

To make the cut for our Minor Leagues list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $2B. After applying price and liquidity filters, we simply sort by proximity to new highs in order to focus on the best players.

[PLUS] Weekly Momentum Report & Takeaways

May 24, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Check out this week’s Momentum Report, our weekly summation of all the major indexes at a Macro, International, Sector, and Industry Group level.

By analyzing the short-term data in these reports, we get a more tactical view of the current state of markets. This information then helps us put near-term developments into the context of the big picture and provides insights regarding the structural trends at play.

Let’s jump right into it with some of the major takeaways from this week’s report:

* ASC Plus Members can access the Momentum Report by clicking the link at the bottom of this post.

Macro Universe:

Breadth Indicators Picking Up Bullish Signals

May 24, 2021

The process of our analysis is such that we look at a variety of charts in order to arrive at a view at any given point in time. To make sure we're identifying new trends that are developing in the market, we have several breadth indicators that we track.

As we already know, the market has been in a bit of a mess off-late. Within this market move, different sectors have taken leadership- almost as if playing a game of musical chairs.

Over the weekend when I was going through the usual suspects (charts) I noticed a slight change in market activity. So here I am talking about it!

[Premium] Trade Of The Week

May 22, 2021

This week we're looking at two long setups this week. One in the Chemicals space and the second one in the Auto sector. While Chemicals have been among the gainers over the past few weeks, the Auto seems to be catching a bid off late.

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Pair Trades Part Deux

May 20, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

As the market has become increasingly mixed, it's time to switch up our strategy a bit.

As we outlined in our post yesterday, for the first time in about a year, we are shorting stocks.

But this statement requires an asterisk...

We are shorting some stocks. And at the same time, we're still buying the leaders as plenty of stocks continue to show impressive strength -- particularly those with cyclical or value characteristics. That's where we're focusing for long ideas.

As for shorts, it's all growth. That is where the weakness is. We're not only seeing deterioration and relative weakness at the index level for growth stocks -- the internals are also deteriorating beneath the surface.

This is simply a tale of two markets. As growth-heavy averages like the Nasdaq roll over, the leadership areas are registering bullish breadth thrusts and carrying on higher like business as usual.

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How To Make Money In A Mixed Market

May 19, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

First of all, thanks to everyone as always for participating in this week's Mystery Chart.

As noted in the Mystery post last week, the rounding bottom in question is a pattern we've become all too familiar with since last year.

The reason for this is simple: The chart was merely a derivative - or just another way to illustrate and visualize the overarching theme that's driving so many of our cross-asset relationships these days... The sustained rotation out of Growth  and into Value.

We've written a lot about this theme since last year, and more recently have been pounding the table on a new theme that's taken the forefront for markets across the globe... We believe we're in for a trendless or rangebound period for risk assets as well as an increasingly bifurcated or mixed market. 

Much of this divergence in performance among various groups can be directly attributed to this trend toward value and away from growth.

The All Star Momentum Scan

May 19, 2021

We debuted a new scan recently which goes by the name- All Star Momentum.

All Star Momentum is a brand new scan that pinpoints the very best stocks in the market. This time around, we have incorporated our stock universe of Nifty 500 as the base. Among the 500 stocks that we follow, this scan will pump out names that are most likely to generate great returns.

While we go through our lists of sectors and stocks on a weekly basis, we thought of launching a product that would highlight the names that are the strongest performers in our universe and those that are primed for an explosive move.

Just like The Outperformers scan, this is a list of stocks belonging to the sectors that display relative strength in the market at any given point in time. Since sector rotation is the lifeblood of a bull market, we will be ahead of the curve before the gears keep shifting.

Short Their Optimism

May 18, 2021

You know by the time the journalists get wind that things are good, it's probably almost time for it not to be anymore.

We just saw the best 52-week period for stocks in over 75 years. You know what they were telling you the week that rally started?

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Under The Hood (05-17-2021)

May 17, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to our latest "Under The Hood” column for the week ended May 14, 2021. This column is published bi-weekly and rotated on-and-off with our Minor Leaguers column.

In this column, we analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names. There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: A list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

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RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (05-17-2021)

May 17, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

Welcome to our latest RPP Report, where we publish return tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

You can consider this our weekly state of the union address as we break down and reiterate both our tactical and structural outlook on various asset classes as well as discuss the most important themes and developments taking place in markets all around the world.

While the weight of the evidence remains in the bull's favor, we continue to see more data arrive that suggests the environment could be shifting toward one that is less conducive to risk assets, at least over shorter timeframes.

[PLUS] Weekly Momentum Report & Takeaways

May 16, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Check out this week's Momentum Report, our weekly summation of all the major indexes at a Macro, International, Sector, and Industry Group level.

By analyzing the short-term data in these reports, we get a more tactical view of the current state of markets. We can then put these near-term developments into the context of the big picture and glean insights into the structural trends at play.

Let's jump right into it with some of the major takeaways from this week's report:

* ASC Plus Members can access the Momentum Report by clicking the link at the bottom of this post.

Cash & Champagne

May 15, 2021

What do you want from me?

Do you want me to tell you that it's just all rainbows and butterflies?

Is that why you come here?

Or is it because you know I don't give a shit, and I'm just going to give it to you straight every time?

So here's the deal.

We had a heck of a run. That was one of the best 1-year returns of all time.

What more do you want?

Give it a rest. Let Year 2 play out and see if it's like all those others. So far it's exactly like them.

We've seen a ton of relative strength out of the Value areas of the market: Financials, Natural Resources, Industrials...

Those are the areas where we've wanted to be as money has rotated out of Growth.

But now our upside objectives are getting hit all over the place. We laid all that out 2 weeks ago in great detail.