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[Options] Settle Down, Interest Rates!

March 24, 2021

We've seen quite a move lower in $TLT (which moves inversely to interest rates) since this summer.

Is the bottom in?

My crystal balls says: "Don't ask me stupid questions." So, that's no help.

But here's what I know:

  • Implied volatility priced into $TLT options is relatively high, though declining from recent high levels.
  • We have a clearly defined level (of perhaps temporary) support at $133.
  • High volatility gives us the ability to short options and gives us plenty of room to be wrong and still make money.

The bet I'm making is $TLT is going to chop around in a bit of a range over the next 2-6 weeks and this will cause volatility to contract.

So here's how I'm going to play it:

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Impressive Strength to Buy

March 19, 2021

US Stocks have been a bit dicey since yesterday afternoon as we're seeing a lot of high beta names get chopped down. This is never fun if you've been riding trends.

But when markets get turbulent, the strongest stocks and future leaders tend to reveal themselves. And that's what I'm seeing right now in a popular name.

[Options] Catching a Caffeine Buzz

March 17, 2021

The latest All Star Charts Monthly Conference Call (subscriber link) is in the books and no doubt JC and the team had to chug a pot (or two) of coffee to get through that blizzard of charts.

Judging by the performance of the publicly traded Starbucks stock, our team are clearly not the only investors who rely on a caffeine boost to perform our best.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Going Exploring

March 12, 2021

In the latest RPP Report put out by All Star Charts, the team remains bullish on the continued sector rotation into energy and oil sector names.

While some of these moves are somewhat extended, there is still a lot of ground to reclaim to get back to former highs. Our bet is the big move is still coming...

[Options] Feed the Ducks in Biotech

March 10, 2021

The Biotech space has seen a lot of price action in both directions over the past several months. As such, there is no surprise that options premiums in that corner of the market have become a bit elevated.

There's a setup I've spotted that offers us a good opportunity to fade these premiums as the sector pauses to digest recent activity.

[Options] Monthly Positions Review

March 3, 2021

This month, I'm going to start presenting these monthly reviews in a different way. I think what would be far more useful to all of you would be a review of all trades we exited in the previous month, as well as updates on any positions approaching expiration in the current month.

While we had a bunch of exits in February, we don't have any positions remaining on the books with March expirations. Let's get to it...

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Baseball is back. Place Your Bets

March 1, 2021

Ok, it's only Spring Training. But baseball fans mark this week on their calendars as it signals there is light at the end of the winter tunnel.

And with regular season baseball games on the horizon, gamblers with an itch that needs to be scratched after football season ended will be chomping at the bit to get playing again.

No surprise then that the stock market -- which is forward looking -- is offering a setup in line with the coming spring.