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All Star Options

[Options Premium] A Counterintuitive Short

April 27, 2020

It would seem that the "new" economy we live in -- one where we order everything online for fear of walking into stores -- would benefit the companies that provide the infrastructure and transportation to make that happen. Fundamentally, that makes sense. But we're chart readers here, and the charts are telling us something different.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Selling the Big Cat

April 24, 2020

The guys at ASC are out with a piece this week highlighting the weakness under the hood in some of the biggest sectors in the US Stock Market. Read it here.

One of the poster children for weakness we want to get short ahead of another possible leg down is setting up right now.

 

 

 

 

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Getting Short the Russell

April 17, 2020

Since I've got a little positive delta building in my portfolio and I'm leaning towards the market feeling a bit overextended here, I'm adding a little negative delta in an index to help balance the risks in my portfolio a bit.

And of course, it makes the most sense to get short the weakest (in relative terms) index to express this hedge.

 

 

 

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Taking a Shine to Silver

April 13, 2020

Options premiums are still pretty elevated across the landscape and the default mode for me when looking for trades to put on is still to prefer selling premium to express any directional bets.

However, JC put some bullish metals ideas in my head last week that are starting to look interesting to me. And there's one in particular that warrants a shot with a debit spread -- where we can use the prevalence of still high options premiums to help us lower our cost of participation in a directional bet.

 

 

 

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Industrious Downside Bet

April 8, 2020

Just a couple weeks ago, we put on a delta neutral credit spread in the Industrials $XLI to take advantage of pumped up volatility. That trade worked out quickly and we got out of it at our price target on Monday of this week. One for the good guys.

Now, $XLI is bumping up against some formidable upside resistance. And with options premiums still elevated, we're going to use them to leverage into a bearish directional bet here.

 

 

 

 

 

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] If it Ain't Broke...

April 3, 2020

The song remains the same. Picking directions in this market is a crapshoot. The way I explained it to a non-trader friend of mine was like this:

Imagine lighting firecrackers with extremely short wicks. Fun and exhilarating when the payoff happens, but way too easy to get burned.

So for me, the safest way to navigate this market profitably is to continue seeking out ETFs to put delta-neutral credit spreads on.

Next up?

 

 

 

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Continuing the Premium Selling Theme

April 1, 2020

With $VIX still holding above 50 and picking a direction is a crapshoot here, I'm still on the hunt for delta-neutral premium selling opportunities.

The way I do it is I scan the most liquid ETFs out there and rank them by volatility. And then I look for evidence of sideways action forming, or at least some very clear risk management levels to lean against.