In true commodity supercycles, shiny yellow rocks outperform stocks.

Last week, we outlined why we thought buying gold and selling stocks was a good idea. If you haven't had a chance, you can check out that post.

But that's not it.

We've also been pounding the table on how bullish we are on the precious metal mining stocks. They're testing a key level of polarity relative to gold futures. 

This is the level where the miners begin to outperform gold.

We're also heading into the sweet spot for junior gold mining stocks based on seasonality. 

Here's the seasonal trend 👇

The U.S. dollar is getting slammed, and gold bugs around the world are rejoicing.

In honor of this development, we just went live on YouTube to talk about it.

We discussed the extreme position in the foreign exchange markets and the implications of a weaker dollar.

In addition, we talked about what areas we believe stand to benefit most from this (hint, hint, we talked a lot about commodities).

Gold futures keep screaming higher to new all-time highs.

It has also rallied over 100% relative to the broader commodity complex.

But what the shiny yellow metal hasn't done this cycle is outperform stocks. We think that's about to change in a major way and here's why.

Gold is flirting with new multi-year highs relative to the S&P 500 👇

Last week, we discussed gold closing at its highest price in years relative to the broader commodities complex.

We don't anticipate this will change anytime soon. 

We think the breadth of the precious metals market is about to change. So far, gold and silver have been the only ones to participate.

But what about platinum and palladium? Will they ever catch up?

We think the answer to that question is a resounding yes, and here's why.

Check out these monthly candlesticks 👇

We're in New York City for the Portfolio Accelerator this week, which has been tremendous.

This morning, we led a discussion about metals, bonds, economic data, and much more. Paul Ciena, the chief technical strategist at Bank of America, overlayed momentum with the unemployment rate (such a junky thing to do haha).

The technical analysis and conversations have been off the charts here. 

We recorded an extra special episode of Gold Rush for you all LIVE from New York City. 

Check it out 👇

Participation has been expanding in the commodities markets.

We've nailed trades in natural gas, crude oil, copper, and more. 

But one continues to shine brighter than the rest... Gold!

Gold just closed at its highest price in years relative to commodities:

As precious metal investors, it's paramount to rotate between the metals themselves and mining companies to maximize our long-term gains.

The miners have historically treated shareholders poorly, but sometimes, it pays handsomely to own them.

Last week, we outlined a key level of interest in one of our favorite intermarket ratios. Based on this chart, we believe now is the time to buy the miners.

But it's not just the miners that've rewarded us for being long. The futures contracts are also trending higher, and we're looking to buy more on strength.

Gold futures resolved another continuation pattern last week:

If you're bullish on gold and silver mining, it's time to BUY BUY BUY.

Gold was the best-performing asset class in 2024, far outpacing precious metal stocks. 

We wouldn't be surprised to see the mining stocks catchup in 2025. Why?

Sector rotation is the lifeblood of a bull market. 

This chart suggests it's time for some mean reversion 👇

People keep telling us, "2024 was the year of artificial intelligence." 

That's bull shit, and we have the data to prove it. Last year was a year for the gold bugs. 🥳

Here's an overview of how each asset class performed in 2024:

Silver relative to gold is the best intermarket ratio for precious metal investors to track.

The line goes up when the animal spirits are alive in the industry.

Earlier this year, the ratio broke a multi-year downtrend line. 

It looked poised to retest the neckline of a massive head and shoulders bottoming formation.

Instead, it's been a choppy mess in recent months, disappointing the gold bugs (including ourselves).

You need to see this zoomed-out chart of silver relative to gold:

The market just had a stress test, and gold passed it.

Now, what's next?

We've been monitoring the strength of the United States dollar, which has added to the selling pressure on gold. 

First, check out how helpful this intermarket relationship has been recently:

Newmont Mining has been a bellwether of the gold mining industry for decades, producing thousands of ounces yearly.

It's also the largest component in the gold miner ETFs like GDX and RING. As Ron Burgundy said, "I don't know how to put this, but I'm kind of a big deal."

Over time, the company has been mismanaged and desperately needs a makeover. 

Just look at Newmont Mining flirting with new all-time lows relative to gold: