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Reminders From Crypto's Crash

September 9, 2021

Watching some of these cryptos, you wouldn't even know Bitcoin just got a 15% haircut after $4B worth of positions were steamrolled.

Take a look at Solana...

We thought that this extension target, particularly in the face of the recent action, would act as a logical level to consolidate these gains. But, buyers have continued their charge.

When the market completely ignores these extensions, that's information...

All Star Charts Crypto

The Cascade Crash

September 8, 2021

That was quite the day yesterday...

We experienced $3.5B worth of long liquidations in the last 24 hours, with over $1.8B taking place in under an hour at the height of the crash.

Source: ByBt

Bitcoin's total open interest across all exchanges has fallen by a mighty 23%, and Ethereum's OI fell by 25%:

Source: Glassnode

All Star Charts Crypto

Bitcoin's Polarity

September 7, 2021

One of the first lessons you learn in technical analysis kindergarten is the principle of polarity.

That is, former support turns into resistance, and vice versa.

The thinking here is that when buyers absorb all the overhead supply looming at resistance, the market has nowhere to go but up. When the market breaks out and retests that former resistance, it turns into support on the way down.

This language of supply and demand is true everywhere, but particularly so in cryptocurrencies, where there are no earnings, dividends, and discounted cash flow models to dilute the necessity of price.

So, with this all said, is this a textbook example of polarity taking place in Bitcoin?

All Star Charts Crypto

It's A Bull Market, You Know...

September 6, 2021

Things are looking pretty damn good right now.

Bitcoin's got a 50 handle.

The alts are pushing to new highs.

And on-chain behavior continues to suggest accumulation on the part of long-term investors.

The bottom line is that if Bitcoin is in the 50,000's, we need to be aggressively long crypto.

And on the other side of things, alts have certainly had a good run in the last month: Solana, Cardano, Terra, Axie Infinity all come to mind...

All Star Charts Crypto

"But Crypto's Too Volatile"

September 1, 2021

There's a permeating myth that cryptos are too volatile to invest and trade.

Naysayers will argue that because volatility's so high, they won't touch it.

The reality is that Bitcoin's less volatile than some members of the S&P 500.

Hell, Crude Oil literally traded in the negatives just over a year ago... talk about recency bias for people leaving that out from the equation.

The real debate isn't comparing cryptocurrencies to other asset classes, it's one of risk management.

So let's flip the question.

All Star Charts Crypto

The Sun Rises for Solana

August 31, 2021

The talk of the town is Solana, for good reason.

While many cryptos have consolidated in the last few weeks, the entire Solana ecosystem has been on fire!

Just take a look at this thing...

Tight as a Tiger

August 30, 2021

It's sure getting tight out there...

There's an old adage that from compression comes expansion.

We saw this exact development take place a month ago before Bitcoin's face ripper of a rally.

Here's why this "compression" is important to pay attention to:

As markets become more coiled, buyers or sellers are ultimately forced to front up. This period of shrinking volatility is often met with violent unwinds – in either direction.

So when we see these periods of notable reductions in volatility, pay attention because the resolution often sets the tone for weeks and months to come.

Fast forward to today, we're seeing the same setup take place.

[Video] Cryptos Are Just More Stocks To Trade

August 27, 2021

In the early days of Crypto, we were taught to believe these were currencies.

And in the case of Bitcoin, maybe it is. But when you go down the cap scale, these things are no different than stocks.

For me they're "Tech" stocks. For Howard they're "Software" stocks.

Either way, we agree that these are just more stocks we can trade. And if you choose not to, well then you're leaving a lot of alpha on the table.

Why would you purposely choose to ignore this particular group of names?

Howard and I discussed all of this during a livestream this week.

Enjoy!

All Star Charts Crypto

Playing Devil's Advocate

August 26, 2021

In recent weeks, we've been discussing the potential upside in the altcoins if Bitcoin gets back into the 60,000's.

We're talking doubles and triples, at least...

There's no doubting that we've held a more bullish view when Bitcoin was hovering in the 30,000's, and more recently when Bitcoin resolved higher into the 40,000's.

But as always, we need to remain objective in our approach and look for cracks in our thesis.

It's one of many reasons why we always play devil's advocate; that is, collating a list of data points that go against our thesis and would subsequently make us change our perspective.

Let's not forget, flipping our approach as new evidence comes in is not only an advantage, but in public markets, it's a necessity.

So with that said, what if this isn't as clean a breakout as we initially intended?

What then?