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All Star Charts Crypto

Make Hay While the Sun Shines?

September 1, 2022

Getting a fresh batch of monthly candlesticks has to be one of our favorite elements in our process.

Being forced to zoom out provides us with the insightful context of what truly matters -- the primary trend.

Remember, a lot of the work we do is simple trend identification. Instead of trying to catch the uncertain market top/bottom, we're always looking to position ourselves in the path of least resistance.

Trying to catch and time market extremes is difficult and it comes with a great deal of uncertainty.

Understanding market structure, on the other hand, will give you a great deal of conviction in your overall outlook.

 

All Star Charts Crypto

Why Jump the Gun?

August 30, 2022

From the Desk of Louis Sykes @haumicharts

We hate to sound like a broken record. But "patience" is the name of the game in a tape like this.

Looking at the asset class from the top down, it's clear we're still in the basing process. There is perhaps no better visualization of this dynamic than our broad-based altcoin index.

Incorporating just over 300 coins, this equally weighted index tracks all USDT spot pairs on Binance, adjusted for stablecoins, leveraged coins, and other outliers.

 

 

All Star Charts Crypto

More of the Same

August 29, 2022

Over the last two weeks, we've made the case for short-term caution and patience. This approach has proven timely, with Bitcoin correcting 20% over this period.

As it currently stands, Bitcoin lies on a shelf of support near its most recent pivot lows, around the 18,000, 19,000 neighborhood.

Bearish sentiment seems to be approaching extreme levels, with both Ethereum and Bitcoin quarterlies trading backward.

At the same time, the macro backdrop continues to be a risk-off picture.

The S&P 500 has lost a key level of support, while the US dollar, interest rates, and crude oil all look prime to begin a new leg higher.

 

 

All Star Charts Crypto

Internals Are in Risk-Off Mode

August 24, 2022

From the Desk of Louis Sykes @haumicharts

Over the last month, we've been developing a variety of market breadth tools to use in crypto capital markets.

After working out a few technical kinks, we're happy to bring forward more of this analysis.

We recommend you read these two notes on crypto breadth to better understand our approach:

Here's a quick rundown on what this analysis seeks to achieve.

 

 

 

All Star Charts Crypto

It's Time for More Chop

August 23, 2022

It's impossible to ignore legacy markets when evaluating cryptocurrencies.

The two are so intertwined that correlation analysis almost trumps our traditional price analysis.

I hate to say it, but if you want to understand where Bitcoin's going, study the S&P 500 and the US dollar, not the Bitcoin chart.

 

 

All Star Charts Crypto

Short-Term Caution Is Warranted

August 18, 2022

One of the big characteristics that often separates great traders from mediocre ones is the willingness and ability to sit on the sidelines when it's necessary.

A brief adage we often mention is the distinction between seeing a setup and looking for one. Be patient, prepare your perfect swing, and the setups will come to you.

 

 

All Star Charts Crypto

It's the Correlations, Stupid

August 16, 2022

From the Desk of Louis Sykes @haumicharts

There's lots of chatter about the Ethereum $ETH merge, and rightfully so.

It's a significant development for the entire space and is paving an ideological divide in the community from proponents of proof-of-work (PoW) to that of proof-of-stake (PoS).

But when it comes to our job as technicians -- that is, following money flow -- we like to sweep the narrative aside and see what's really happening.

And we like to tell it like it is.

 

All Star Charts Crypto

The Ethereum Bait

August 15, 2022

Broadly speaking, risk assets have caught a well-received bid over the last few weeks. This recent period has proven to be an incredibly risk-on tape.

When it comes to crypto, the big narrative driving capital markets seems to be the upcoming Ethereum $ETH merge. This update will see the network move away from proof-of-work (PoW) to a proof-of-stake (PoS) framework.

Of course, as technicians, we naturally follow money flow as opposed to getting stuck in the weeds of narratives. It's quite clear to see traders are bidding Ethereum leading into the merge in what looks like a "buy the rumor, sells the news" event.