During last week's Conference Call we discussed a lot of the potential catalysts for a lower US Dollar, so I wrote a free post talking about whether a weaker US Dollar means US stocks have to underperform International stocks. If you haven't read that, please do that first, because in this post I'm going to quickly touch on a short-term theme that continues to build within our Global ETF Ratio universe.
The Mystery Chart I posted Tuesday was a bit different because I told you what type of security it was and that it wasn't inverted. My objective with this chart was similar to what it always is, but more nuanced in that I was trying to get a feel for people's willingness to buy breakouts in stocks right now, or if there was any apprehension.
I received a ton of great responses via Twitter and email, so thank you for that. Let's get into those answers and the actual chart.
Yesterday during our Members-Only Conference Call we discussed a lot of themes and trade ideas, but I wanted to highlight two charts that remain an issue for our bullish Equities thesis.
When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, Sir? ~ John Maynard Keynes
This quote has been on my mind as I am about to publish a trade idea that runs contrary to an existing position we're currently carrying. And if the Market Gods are smiling, we may be able to win on both of them!
For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and eliminate the x and y-axes and and all labels eliminated to minimize bias. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. It can even be inverted or a custom index.
The point here is to not guess what it is, but instead to think about what you would do right now.Buy,Sell, or Do Nothing?
Last week I had the pleasure of being on Real Vision TV where I recorded two segments, one on Bonds and Equities pairs trade (short EWJ/SPY).
The video to the Equities trade is here, but since I'm not sure if/when the free video about Bonds will be out I wanted to go through that trade for you all on the blog. And if the video does come out, I'll be sure to share it.
Today there is no shortage of information: Social Media, Blogs, Newspapers, Television, Water-Cooler Gossip, etc., but we still have the same amount of time in a day. We all have to make a decision what we're going to pay attention to and what we're not.
Tuesday's Mystery Chart received some interesting responses, with some of you stating that the bottom is in, while others said it's still too early to tell.
So let's get into what that chart is and why it's relevant.
Tuesday I posted a Mystery Chart that got a lot of replies.
Most said you'd be buyers at current levels or on a pullback, but a number of you were skeptical of the recent move and would be avoiding or fading it.
The feedback I got was interesting, so let's get right into the actual chart.
This week's Mystery Chart was an inverted daily line chart of the Metals & Mining ETF relative to the S&P 500. Below is the corrected chart.
The Research and/or Trading business can be a very lonely endeavor for many, so I wanted to use this post to outline the role that collaboration plays in my process and why I feel it's so important.
