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The past month has been a tale of messy, choppy action for stocks. Some names are holding up fine, while others are...

Alfonso's Daily Note
ASC
Alfonso
rsp

It’s been messy — a true tale of two markets.

Some areas still look fine, even strong at times. But others? Not so much.

And little by little, the...

Alfonso's Daily Note
ASC
Alfonso
energy and crude oil

Sometimes the biggest moves come from patterns that don’t behave the way everyone expects.

They trap the majority, shake people out, and then make the real move when no one’s positioned for it.

And I’ve gotta say… Energy is starting to...

Alfonso's Daily Note
ASC
Alfonso
QQQ & BTC

I like to treat Bitcoin like any other big-cap tech stock.

At $2 trillion in market cap, it’s not some small speculative play — it’s big enough to sit at the table with the Mag 7.

Both BTC and growth equities...

Alfonso's Daily Note
ASC
Alfonso
EUFN

Whether you’re bullish or bearish, one thing is clear: if the world were truly falling apart, Financials would be front and center, leading the way down to zero.

That’s why I always keep a close eye on them. They’re like the market’s built-in...

Alfonso's Daily Note
ASC
Alfonso
Nasdaq Next Gen 100

I’m always thinking about where the next big winners will come from.

Who’s going to be the secular leader of tomorrow?

Who has the scale, the reach, the ecosystem to dominate an industry?

Sometimes you have to dig deeper, past the...

Alfonso's Daily Note
ASC
Alfonso
xle

In bull markets, everyone eventually gets a turn.

And if there’s one sector that hasn’t had its moment yet, it’s Energy.

Beneath the surface, we’re starting to see some strength emerging, especially in the refiners and oil services names....

Alfonso's Daily Note
ASC
Alfonso
solar

If I had to pick the most heated groups of stocks over the past few years, I’d start with China… and then Solar.

Every cycle needs a comeback story, and solar might be writing one of the best right now.

After years of getting crushed and...

Alfonso's Daily Note
ASC
Alfonso
us indexes

Do you want to know our cheat code here at ASC?

It’s the Monthly Candlesticks.

“Whenever in doubt, zoom out.” That’s how I learned it from JC many years ago.

The beauty of monthly charts is that they make it impossible to ignore the...

Alfonso's Daily Note
ASC
Alfonso
STOXX Europe 600 Index

I keep hearing that this market’s being carried by just a handful of names.

But when you zoom out, that story falls apart pretty quickly.

Outside the U.S., things are looking a lot stronger than most people realize.

Take Europe, for...

Alfonso's Daily Note
ASC
Alfonso
seasonality

When it comes to seasonality, the best signals often appear when the market breaks from the script.That’s when we learn what’s really happening beneath the surface.Historically, August through October has been one of the toughest periods for stocks —...

Alfonso's Daily Note
ASC
Alfonso
Banks, Builders, and Bitcoin

Every trader has their favorite tools — moving averages, Fibonacci, oscillators, you name it.But few are as powerful as the AVWAP.It’s the average price by volume anchored to a specific moment in time — blending price and psychology to show where the...

Alfonso's Daily Note
ASC
Alfonso

Financials is arguably the world’s most important sector.

They tell you more about the current environment and risk appetite than almost any other group.

They’ve been critical to both the upside and downside in previous cycles, and their...

Alfonso's Daily Note
ASC
Alfonso

Buying below resistance never ends well.

At least not for me. Every time I’ve tried, it’s been nothing but frustration.

Over time, I’ve learned to stay away from setups where price is fighting a wall of...

Alfonso's Daily Note
ASC
Alfonso

Earlier this month, I had a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to attend the CMT Global Investment Summit in Dubai.

I’ve traveled a lot over the years, but Dubai hit different.

Standing under the Burj Khalifa...

Alfonso's Daily Note
ASC
Alfonso

The market is undeniably bullish. Everywhere you turn, investors are getting rewarded for buying stocks, not selling them.

However, from time to time, I like to play devil’s advocate. It helps me stay objective and avoid any...

Alfonso's Daily Note
ASC
Alfonso

When it comes to the US markets, Tech stocks are the heavyweights.

They make up roughly 30% of the S&P 500 and hold significant weight in the major indexes.

These are cash-rich, profitable companies...

Alfonso's Daily Note
ASC
Alfonso