Ichigo Ichie
I think this is important to remember for life in general. We're always so focused on what's going to happen next, where we're going next, what we're eating next, what we're watching next, who we're meeting next. I think we can all be more present. And the idea of Ichigo Ichie is a great reminder.
As usual, there are parallels between the market and life. They are the same in so many ways. We're always trying to compare the current environment to some other year. "Oh, this is 1929 all over again" or, "Oh, this is exactly like 1995". The truth is, it's not any of those things. It's always a new, somehow different, environment. Rates aren't like they were then. Commodities are behaving differently this time. Certain sectors are doing better this time, than that other environment you're comparing it to. While there may be similarities (there always are), every environment is unique. And I think we need to treat it that way.
Every single day the market does something it's never done before, or hasn't done in a long time. The media will find a way to exaggerate it as best they can, but if you can remember the concept of Ichigo Ichie, you know that each day is a distinct moment in time and this rare occurrence is precisely what should be taking place. That's how each environment forms its own fingerprints.
JC, Technical Analysis only looks at the past!"
We have to use information from the past to help us make decisions in the present. That's simply just a function of the fact that information from the past is all we have. Whether you use Technical Analysis, Fundamental Analysis, Economics, Quantitative tools, or you're looking at the moon and stars, we're all forced to use backward looking data. If you can find me some information from the future, I'd be happy to take a look.
Like in life, we take what we've learned and use it to help us make decisions today. I crossed the street too fast once when I was 7 or 8 and almost got hit by a car. I never did that again. I burned my finger touching one of those sandwich makers when I was like 5 year old, and never touched one again. I went all in on Uranium Stocks in 2010 right before the Fukushima earthquake. I never did that again. I felt great after the first time I did yoga. So I did Yoga a lot more after that.
These were all learning experiences that help me make decisions every day now. But all of these lessons came from very specific moments in my life that I have learned to treasure. Some of these moments were happy ones, some were scary ones, some were neither. But I wish I could go back and focus more on what I was thinking at the time those things were happening around me.
People ask me all the time what it was like to trade throughout 2008. I remember a lot of it, but did I cherish it enough? People will most certainly ask me 5, 10, 20, 30, hopefully 40 years from now, what this current experience was like, both personally and from the perspective of a market participant.
Fortunately, I have this blog that I can always go back to, which brings up that concept of writing things down you always hear me preaching about. But I think whether it's this year's stock market crash, or a 2017 where stocks just grinded higher, if we don't enjoy it, if we don't embrace it, if we don't learn from it, the moment will be lost forever.
We have charts that help us go back and see what happened to price, but our emotions, our feelings, and most importantly, the lessons, are not able to be visualized on a chart. That's where we come in. That's where we have to be responsible.
Are you practicing Ichigo Ichie? Or are you too focused on next week or next month to appreciate what's taking place at this very moment?
JC