Here's the video from a live interview I did on ET NOW, India's leading business news channel. It's amazing that I could not live further away than I currently do, yet we can still do this sort of thing. Their morning TV is my evening, but it works.
In this interview we discuss the ongoing rangebound market in US Stocks and then we shift gears to India's stock market. We talk about the rotation into small & mid-caps, key levels for both the NIFTY50 and Bank NIFTY as well as the relative strength we're seeing in the bank stocks, particularly ICICI and AXIS Bank.
This is our monthly conference call for All Star Charts India Premium Members where we discuss ongoing themes throughout the India Share Market. We take a look at all of the NSE Indexes and Sectors as well as some of our own custom indexes. At Allstarcharts we have become known around the world for the top/down approach to stocks. After we analyze each of the indexes and sectors and have identified where the strength and weakness lies, then we break it down to individual stock opportunities. By having momentum, relative strength and market trend in our favor, the probabilities of success increase dramatically. The video of the call will be archived in the members section to re-watch any time and the PDF of the charts will be made available as well.
I'll do my best to lay out my weight of the evidence conclusions and walk you step by step with how I got there! This month's Conference Call will be held on Monday March 18th at 7PM IST. Here are the Registration Details:
Tuesday's Mystery Chart received some interesting responses, with some of you stating that the bottom is in, while others said it's still too early to tell.
So let's get into what that chart is and why it's relevant.
Tuesday I posted a Mystery Chart that got a lot of replies.
Most said you'd be buyers at current levels or on a pullback, but a number of you were skeptical of the recent move and would be avoiding or fading it.
The feedback I got was interesting, so let's get right into the actual chart.
This week's Mystery Chart was an inverted daily line chart of the Metals & Mining ETF relative to the S&P 500. Below is the corrected chart.
The Research and/or Trading business can be a very lonely endeavor for many, so I wanted to use this post to outline the role that collaboration plays in my process and why I feel it's so important.
Some people actually think this world is just filled with rainbows and butterflies and stocks are always supposed to go up. I never understood that ignorance. Sometimes stocks go up, sometimes they go down and sometimes they go sideways for a while. It will take you less than 5 minutes of market history research to understand this very simple fact.
Of those 3, I would argue we are in the 'sideways for a while' category in U.S. Stocks, particularly the S&P500.
Our Video team has been hard at work publishing the videos of all the presentations from this year's Chart Summit. They sent over this highlight reel that I think shows exactly what went down in Breckenridge last month. If you were not able to attend this year, don't worry, we're already thinking about locations for Chart Summit 2020!
One options strategy that we occasionally employ at All Star Options is a bullish Risk Reversal. This is a trade we like to put on when the cost of naked calls is too high for our comfort (due to high volatility and/or higher priced strikes), and we're comfortable taking ownership of long stock in a "worst case" scenario.
Simply, it is a trade where we typically purchase an out-of-the-money call, and finance this purchase (all or in part) with the sale of an equal amount of naked puts in the the same expiration cycle.
This is an advanced-level trade that requires more buying power than most trades we put on (due to the naked puts component) and a higher level of comfort with risk. A typical risk reward graph would look like this:
It's been a frustrating period for stocks in Canada over the past decade. Up just 7% since their 2008 highs, Canadian equities have been consistently underperforming for almost 10 years. But are things now finally changing?
For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and eliminate the x and y-axes and and all labels eliminated to minimize bias. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. It can even be inverted or a custom index.
The point here is to not guess what it is, but instead to think about what you would do right now.Buy,Sell, or Do Nothing?
Going through charts and coming up with conclusions is not just something you do once. For this to work, Technical Analysis has to be a lifestyle. Getting away from the screen regularly and coming back open minded is part of that work / life balance. In this conversation I talk about some of the struggles I've had personally trying not to let the implications of us being right in our assessment impact my decision making. Thanks to Donnie Hensley and Speedtrader for being a part of Chart Summit 2019.
