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June 11, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We’ve written extensively about the split market we’ve been in for the better part of the year, as the same leaders coming into the Q1 crash emerged as the strongest areas coming out of it. Over the past 3-4 weeks we’ve seen some major mean reversion and much-needed participation from the cyclical sectors which have been lagging for years now.

This is constructive rotation and a major positive for bulls as we’re going to need to see this type of breadth expansion if this rally is to have legs.

While this is an encouraging development, there’s one thing that hasn’t changed at all. With all the focus on Financials, Industrials and Energy recently, Tech seems to have been forgotten a bit, but it’s still by far the best game in town.

So....About That "Reflation Trade"

June 11, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Thanks to everyone who participated in this week's Mystery Chart.

Some of you were sellers of this failed breakout, while others were anticipating a move back to new highs after this brief correction, but staying patient and waiting for confirmation first before entering.

It was a mixed bag overall, so let's get into what it was and what our interpretation is.

Top 10 Charts Of The Week

June 10, 2020

From the desks of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

In this post, we're going to share 10 of the most important charts we're looking at right now. Some are merely for observational purposes or to highlight some of the broader trends at play in the markets while others are trade ideas in some of our favorite names and areas.

Let's dive right in. Here they are.

Charting School: Wait For Your Pitch

June 9, 2020

There are no called strikes on Wall Street. In other words, we're not penalized for not swinging, like you are in baseball. We have the ability to be patient, to a certain extent at least, depending on your mandate. But most of us don't have mandates! Even one of the best hitters of all time struggled when he swung at bad pitches. In this video we compare Ted Williams' batting average when he swung at good pitches, vs when he swung at bad ones.

This is my favorite reminder that in trading & investing, we want to wait for OUR perfect pitch, and then swing, vs just swinging at anything. 

This explanation is taken directly from Lesson 5 in our NEW Allstarcharts Charting School:

Mystery Chart (06-09-2020)

June 9, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

New Mystery Chart!

For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it’s a custom index or inverted, who knows!

We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.

You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?

[Options] Oh Snap!

June 8, 2020

Hard to believe some low volatility setups are appearing all over the place, but that is the market we are in. The "bull market" in stocks continues higher, seemingly unabated. Who am I to fight it?

And where else should we play but in names that continue to benefit from the "work-from-home" and social distancing mindshift that is happening on a global scale? Like Social Media.

Time For Palladium To Reaffirm Its Leadership?

June 8, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

From a Precious Metals' perspective, Palladium has been a clear leader for over a decade. Despite its strong long-term performance, a sharp March drawdown has people wondering whether this is the end of  its reign over the Precious Metals' space.

In this post, we're going to outline our "keep it simple stupid" approach to answering that very question.

Let's jump into it.