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HY Is Hitting Higher

August 11, 2022

From the Desk of  Ian Culley @Ianculley

More pieces of the puzzle are falling into place for the bulls.

We’ve been pounding the table about the dollar and rates for months, and now they’re starting to take shape.

On Wednesday, the US Dollar Index $DXY broke to fresh lows, violating a multi-month trend line.

And interest rates… well, they haven’t moved much. They continue to hold their range after peaking in June. 

As expected, stocks surged yesterday in response to a weaker dollar and stable bond market. 

But stocks aren’t the only risk assets on the rise. Investors are moving out on the risk curve and bidding up high-yield bonds, too.

Here’s a dual-pane chart of the Fallen Angel High-Yield Bond ETF $ANGL and the S&P 500 Index $SPX:

Breadth Thrusts & Bread Crusts: Letting Profits (Cantaloupes) Run

August 11, 2022

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

I don’t want to count my melons before they are ripe, but letting profits run in the garden looks like it’s going to pay off this year. 

Sorry for the mixed metaphors. This is what I’m talking about… 

I spotted a volunteer melon plant coming up next to the garage earlier this summer. In gardenspeak, a “volunteer” is something that comes up on its own, not because of a seed that was intentionally planted. It’s not in the best spot and I could have pulled it out right away. 

But I didn’t. I let it grow for a little while. Then a little while longer. Now I have an awkwardly-situated cantaloupe plant that covers 30 square feet. 

So why did I leave it?  

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Does ETHBTC Represent Risk Appetite?

August 11, 2022

From the Desk of Louis Sykes @haumicharts

In recent weeks, we've found ourselves revisiting the following question: Is Ethereum outperforming Bitcoin a bullish characteristic for the asset class?

We addressed this question a year ago. The conclusion we reached back then was that, while ETH outperforming BTC is not a necessary condition for a bull market, it’s always an encouraging sign when we see it.

In light of the recent disparity in performance between ETH and BTC, we thought we'd re-examine this topic.

Let's get to it.

 

 

 

Insiders Still Love Energy Stocks

August 11, 2022

The largest insider buy on today’s list is a Form 4 filing by the executive chairman of Energy Transfer LP $ET, who revealed a purchase worth $12.6 million.

Director Matthew R. Cohler revealed an insider buy worth $991,484 in KKR & Co $KKR.

Stocks Make Higher Highs

August 11, 2022

A downtrend consists of a series of lower lows and lower highs.

But the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Russell2000 Small-cap Index are both making higher highs.

That's, by definition, not a downtrend.

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The Short Report (08-10-2022)

August 10, 2022

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as “a market of stocks.”

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

Now, we’re also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

[PLUS] Weekly Sentiment Report

August 10, 2022

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: The bulls are raising their voices in excitement. For the first time this year, momentum and breadth are improving in tandem. Despite the bullish developments in recent weeks, the structural trend remains lower. This newfound optimism builds upon months of selling pressure replaced by broadening pockets of near-term strength. Now that the ball is in the bull's court, they have to do something with it. This means proving they have what it takes to stay in the game, and that we’re experiencing strength beyond an oversold bounce.

Sentiment Report Chart of the Week: Investors Finding A New Dance Partner?