This week's Mystery Chart Reveal was focused on Japan's breakdown to new lows versus the S&P 500. This one chart is part of a much larger theme, so in this post we're going to discuss the best reward/risk pair trades present in this space.
This is our monthly conference call for All Star Charts India Premium Members where we discuss ongoing themes throughout the India Share Market. We take a look at all of the NSE Indexes and Sectors as well as some of our own custom indexes. At Allstarcharts we have become known around the world for the top/down approach to stocks. After we analyze each of the indexes and sectors and have identified where the strength and weakness lies, then we break it down to individual stock opportunities. By having momentum, relative strength and market trend in our favor, the probabilities of success increase dramatically. The video of the call will be archived in the members section to re-watch any time and the PDF of the charts will be made available as well.
I'll do my best to lay out my weight of the evidence conclusions and walk you step by step with how I got there! This month's Conference Call will be held on Tuesday February 19th at 7PM IST. Here are the Registration Details:
The US Dollar Index is approaching its Q4 highs once again, however, the real story lies underneath the surface in three unrepresented currency pairs that are offering a solid reward/risk opportunity at current levels.
For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and eliminate the x and y-axes and and all labels eliminated to minimize bias. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. It can even be inverted or a custom index.
The point here is to not guess what it is, but instead to think about what you would do right now.Buy,Sell, or Do Nothing?
The latest Chart of the Week is actually 4 charts! Today we're looking at Emerging Markets and comparing them to the S&P500. When money managers are bullish and positioning themselves for higher stock prices, they tend to invest in more speculative, higher beta names. When PMs are positioning themselves for lower stock prices, EM gets killed, particularly relative to developed markets.
These 4 charts represent divergences between Emerging markets and the S&P500 over the past couple of decades. When the S&P500 is making lower lows but Emerging Markets are simultaneously making higher lows, it's been evidence of risk appetite for stocks and markets have continued to rally for years after the divergence.
These are the registration details for the monthly conference call held for Premium Members of All Star Charts. In this call we will discuss the global market environment and how to profit from it. As always, this will include Stocks, Interest Rates, Commodities and Currencies. The video of the call will be archived in the members section to re-watch any time and the PDF of the charts will be made available as well.
This month’s Conference Call will be held on Tuesday February 19th at 7PM ET. Here are the details for the call:
When it comes to strategies, I've noticed that some investors try to force their approach on to the market, even if we're not in the type of environment where that strategy works. The first thing we want to do is identify what type of environment we're in, so that we can then create strategies to try and profit from it. To think we can build a system for a future environment that doesn't exist yet is foolish.
When it comes to buying stocks, I'm a bigger fan of buying things that are already working rather than getting cute and trying to be the first one in hoping others agree with me quickly. Rarely does bottom fishing work out in our favor. The probabilities are against us from the start.
One way to see if something is already "working" is to recognize how it is behaving compared to its peers. In the case of U.S. Stocks, how are specific groups doing compared to the rest of the market? I like to think of it like holding a basketball in a pool under water. You can feel the pressure, similar to overall selling pressure in stocks. Once you let go, the ball explodes out of the water and into the air. Stocks behave the same way once the overwhelming selling is complete.
Many of the sectors which formed the most beautiful bases during the recent stock market correction reside in the medical devices, healthcare, and pharmaceuticals sectors. Stocks here didn't plunge as deep as most, they found firm footing quickly, and are now showing signs of moving higher again. One such play has us very interested from a risk versus potential reward standpoint.
Our boy Bruni did a deep dive into the Cybersecurity space recently and served up a bunch of names that are setting up well to lead the market higher. Importantly, earnings are on the horizon which offers both an opportunity for a positive catalyst, as well as the need to tread carefully if the sector disappoints. We've got a plan for that...
