From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The most significant insider buy on today’s list comes via a Form 4 filing by the founder and CEO of Nerdy Inc $NRDY, Chuck Cohn.

Cohn reported a purchase of 569,976 NRDY shares, equivalent to $957,559.

In 2019 Tesla was worth a tiny $30 Billion.

By 2021 Tesla was approaching a market cap of $1.3 Trillion.

The job of a CEO is to increase shareholder value.

Period.

No CEO in history made shareholders more money faster than Elon Musk.

It's just math.

Bitcoin looks set to end the week down as large-cap growth is driving up the U.S. equity indices. There's a substantial divergence taking place, and I'm betting that Bitcoin catches higher; I just need to see this manifest with a breakout above 73,000.

I keep reiterating the strength in Bitcoin mining stocks. While the short-term trends look set to consolidate in the coming weeks, they have become a favorable sector to craft a more longer-term bullish thesis in the crypto markets.

The Bull Market is back, baby!

At least, it sure looks that way at the index level as the biggest of the big caps begin new legs higher.

Though, curiously, the two short positions I have on are also showing signs of working out for us.

With $VIX readings continuing to remain low, most bullish bets I’m looking at involve buying options premium since it is quite affordable in this environment.

In this week’s portfolio review, I fielded an important question: “What’s an appropriate account size for trading options?”

Of course, there is no one-size-fits-all for options accounts. But I get into a number of considerations to mull over to determine what is the right size for you.

Check it out:

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The Nasdaq is ripping to new all-time highs. NVIDIA’s market cap is surpassing the three-trillion-dollar mark. And US T-bonds are registering another buy signal. 

But the market’s still a mess. 

Just look at yesterday’s intraday reversal—a bullish reaction to inflation data in the morning, followed by a bearish reaction to the FOMC meeting in the afternoon. Investors are still trying to make sense of the mid-week hoopla.

Friday’s close (the most important data point of the week) will reveal critical information regarding market conviction heading into the weekend.

Meanwhile, you can track high-yield bonds for risk-on confirmation.

Check out the HY Bond ETF $HYG overlaid with the high beta-versus-low volatility ratio (using the $SPHB and $SPLV ETFs):

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. No new positions.
2. Adjustment to QQQ position.
3. No exits since the last report.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let’s dig in!

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, and Occidental Petroleum $OXY take the spotlight again today.

Buffett and Berkshire continue to accumulate shares of OXY, this time disclosing a purchase worth roughly $105 million.

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

Here's another trade for the "Hard" file...

It's "Fed Day." So I'm not interested in putting on any trades that might be material affected by any post-fed reaction. But I did find one that is trading in it's own universe, divorced from whatever may or may not come out of Washington.

This is a trade that will be hard for many people. Not hard to execute, just hard to comprehend the why?

Some people will look at the chart and be afraid of a pullback.

Some people will see that it's a $4 stock and say: "no thanks."

Others will hate the sector it's in.

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. No new positions.
2. Adjustment to SMH position.
3. No exits since the last report.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let’s dig in!

OK, the title of this note is a little tongue-in-cheek.

But let me explain.

I’m a rules based trader. I’m nothing without my rules. Without rules, I’m just a trader pissing in the wind, driven in multiple directions by my volatility and ever-changing emotional reactions to my intraday PnL.

That’s no way to live.

Once I committed to being intentional about every trade I put on, my trading jumped to a new level. This process includes a thoughtful rationale for my thesis, position sizing, stop loss, and profit-taking levels.

So these days, whenever positions are moving either for or against me, I take comfort in knowing that I don’t need to make any new decisions – even as my emotions tug at me to do something! I already know what to do because I laid it out in my original trading plan.

And for me, that works 95% of the time.

Why not 100%?

Because nothing is perfect. Not the setup. Not me. Not the rules. Nothing.

Occasionally, I need to use a little discretion. Thankfully, not often. But when I do, I do it from a position of strength.