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Index Construction Drives EM Outperformance

October 31, 2020

One of the most valuable parts of our day has become reading The Chart Report India daily email.

It's impossible to catch everything that's going on in the markets on a daily basis, but we know that The Chart Report India will help us stay on top of the most significant market insights.

In just a few minutes of reading, we get a recap of what the top technicians in the world are watching in the Indian markets.

Like this tweet below from Nautilus Research, which was featured in the October 28th daily email.

In this case, Emerging Markets outperformance has been something we've been talking about for a while, but seeing its isolated performance relative to Europe really helped highlight what's driving the weakness.

We wrote more about this relationship two days ago (Global Yields Weighing On Equities) and the post below will expand on our thoughts, this...

[Podcast] Technical Analysis Radio Interviews: Hedge Fund Manager, Mark Dow

October 30, 2020

Mark Dow has been a guest on this podcast more times than anyone else for a good reason. Selfishly I always enjoy chatting with him. His perspective is fascinating to me because he does such brilliant job of combining price behavior with sentiment analysis and the global macro intermarket backdrop.

Mark worked for the U.S. Treasury Department in charge of Emerging Markets in the early 90s before ultimately running money for a Global Macro Hedge Fund in New York City. So he has a lot of opinions on economics and politics, but he's great at not letting those things get in the way of his price behavior and sentiment analysis. He's figured out how to separate them but also use his expertise to his advantage. That's not any task.

I loved this conversation because we talked about how institutional investors are positioned coming into the U.S. election, how currencies and interest rates around the world are being affected, and in turn how they are affecting other asset classes. I ask him about Bitcoin and Gold and which one will win that battle. Of course, the US Dollar and Emerging Markets were part of the discussion (we can't help ourselves whenever we get...

[Options] Hold Your Fire

October 30, 2020

It's been a slow "ideas" week here at All Star Options for obvious reasons: the markets are getting destabilized ahead of the election and news flow on the Covid19 front.

As JC likes to remind us often -- there are no called strikes on Wall Street. We can sit in the batters box with the bat on our shoulders and just look at pitch after pitch without taking a swing.

This is one of those times.

Germany At The "Top" Of Our List

October 30, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Thanks to everyone who participated in this week's Mystery Chart.

Most of you said that you were buyers of this big base because we like to buy smiley faces, not sell them.

Unfortunately for you all I pulled the flip-flop on this week's chart and inverted it, so let's see what you were actually selling.

Mid-Cap Cyclicals Hit Supply

October 28, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

In this week's RPP Report we discussed some of the major developments recently such as the increasing bid for risk-on and reflationary assets, as well as continued rotation into more cyclical areas across all asset classes.

Our report focused mainly on Financials as well as some discussion regarding the recent outperformance from Small and Mid-Caps.

To follow up on this theme, today we'll dig into some other economically sensitive areas like Mid-Cap Industrials and Materials.

We'll take a look at the charts as well as the internals in these sectors in order to illustrate our current outlook.

Global Yields Weighing On Equities

October 28, 2020

In this post, we want to share some research that was provided to our US Subscribers, which attempts to explain why the difference in Interest Rates in Europe and the US is causing trouble in the markets.

Everything between the horizontal lines was written for US subscribers, so keep that in mind as you're reading it. The conclusion/takeaway for India is way at the bottom in bold.

All Star Charts Premium

[Premium] Details For November Monthly Strategy Session

October 28, 2020

These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Monday November 2nd @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Monday evening:

Introducing "Bubble Charts"

October 28, 2020

As Market Technicians, we are in the data visualization business. We're looking to visualize the behavior of market participants by analyzing price and its derivatives via traditional charts, spreadsheets, and other methods.

Today we want to introduce a slightly different way we like to visualize market behavior as we may begin incorporating it into our analysis more often if you find it helpful.

Without further ado, let's check out some "Bubble Charts."

[Podcast] My Interview With Jack Schwager - Author of Market Wizards

October 27, 2020

I've done over 115 Podcast episodes and I don't remember being this excited to interview someone. I've read all the Jack Schwager books and some of them multiple times. I know traders who regularly read these chapters as part of the mental training.

Think about it, Jack has interviewed the greatest traders in history. All of them. It's incredible. And you know what strategies he uses to trade his own personal money? Technical Analysis.

He's interviewed all of the best traders for his Market Wizards books. And he says about half of them choose their market direction using Technical Analysis. But almost all of them have some sort of Technical component for risk management. This concept of Risk Management is the one common denominator between all of the most successful Traders.

Jack also pokes fun at the Efficient Market Hypothesis, which you know always brings a smile to my face. He discusses some of the success of these traders and how their consistent returns over such long...

Mystery Chart (10-27-2020)

October 27, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

New Mystery Chart!

For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it’s a custom index or inverted, who knows!

We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.

You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?