Nifty 50 has gone ahead and given us a signal of caution after a relentless rally. While we have seen days of a pause in short-term momentum in the past, this time around there's a slight difference.
Let's take a look at the daily chart to see what we've got here.
Software names have been leading the charge in this bull market. And if stocks are setting up for another extension of this bull run, I expect a lot of the leading stocks will come from the software space.
The market has been gaining from strength to strength and if anything, we see greater participation across the globe as this rally matures into what looks like a long-term bull market.
One phrase we hear pretty often during such bull markets is the "Risk-on environment". So what is a Risk-on environment and what are the indicators that allude to such a set-up?
It's not a new chart - in fact it makes the rounds on a fairly regular basis.
The iteration I saw this week showed the relationship between global money supply, stocks and high yield bonds over the past five years. The trend for all three was the same - up and to the right, with early 2021 bring a fresh round of new highs.
For whatever reason, my first thought on seeing this version was that Wu-Tang Clan had it right all along.
Chatting with the team this morning, something that stuck out and we all agreed on is that the Megacaps are starting to show signs of re-asserting their dominance. And that it won't be a one-day event. Just look at NFLX, MSFT, AAPL, and the like and you'll likely see what we're seeing.
And the stock that stands out the most to us right now is Google $GOOG.