Software names have been leading the charge in this bull market. And if stocks are setting up for another extension of this bull run, I expect a lot of the leading stocks will come from the software space.
The market has been gaining from strength to strength and if anything, we see greater participation across the globe as this rally matures into what looks like a long-term bull market.
One phrase we hear pretty often during such bull markets is the "Risk-on environment". So what is a Risk-on environment and what are the indicators that allude to such a set-up?
It's not a new chart - in fact it makes the rounds on a fairly regular basis.
The iteration I saw this week showed the relationship between global money supply, stocks and high yield bonds over the past five years. The trend for all three was the same - up and to the right, with early 2021 bring a fresh round of new highs.
For whatever reason, my first thought on seeing this version was that Wu-Tang Clan had it right all along.
Chatting with the team this morning, something that stuck out and we all agreed on is that the Megacaps are starting to show signs of re-asserting their dominance. And that it won't be a one-day event. Just look at NFLX, MSFT, AAPL, and the like and you'll likely see what we're seeing.
And the stock that stands out the most to us right now is Google $GOOG.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Louis Sykes @haumicharts
New Mystery Chart!
For those new to this exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it’s a custom index or inverted, who knows!
We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.
You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy,Sell, or Do Nothing?
Last Friday I sat down with Aaron Task of Seeking Alpha for a fun chat about today's market environment. Aaron and I have known each other for years from his days as the Digital Editor of Fortune as well as Editor-in-Chief of Yahoo! Finance. We also have a lot of friends in common.
It's always interesting talking to someone from the media about how little media I consume. In addition to the benefits of following price, and ignoring the "news", we discuss the current sector and market cap rotation we're seeing, the next direction for Bitcoin and Crypto Currencies, as well some other important tools and strategies that we're incorporating right now.
It's always fun to catch up with Aaron. He just serves me alley-oops.