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[Premium] Details For April's Monthly Strategy Session

March 30, 2021

These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Thursday April 1st @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Thursday evening:

[PLUS] Weekly Sentiment Report

March 30, 2021

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: The evidence continues to suggest we have recently undergone a healthy unwind in excessive optimism. Investment manager’s equity exposure has dramatically pulled back from extreme readings but remains above levels that signals a shift toward risk aversion risk that can weigh on price. Combining that with budding optimism among individual investors and a supportive, neutral backdrop in sentiment arises. Though global markets lack strength from a tactical perspective, the message remains digestion over deterioration given recent breadth thrusts and that the majority of international markets are in uptrends. For now, the reset in sentiment provides upside potential for both optimism and price.

Sentiment Chart of the Week: Risk Appetite Remains Healthy

The recent unwind in optimism has been met with sustained risk appetite levels. Both High Yield Bonds and Copper hold...

Hot Mess, a definition

March 30, 2021

One thing they don't teach you in the books is the old Technical pattern, "The Hot Mess".

You know when you look at a chart just churning sideways....

Probably trading near flat moving averages....

Below overhead supply....

There's no real edge in either direction....

Traders are getting chopped up in what feels like quicksand....

That, my friends, is a Hot Mess.

Chemicals Under Spotlight

March 30, 2021

The market has been moving sideways for two months now. But that does not mean that every sector will reflect the same move.

As the story of a market cycle unfolds, various sectors assume importance just like different characters in a play. Currently, the Chemicals segment is in the spotlight so let's see what its constituents are up to!

The Chemicals segment has been showing strength over the past few days with some interesting setups lined up. We included one such setup in our Trade of the Week post.

First up, we have Pidilite Industries which is now moving back into positive territory as it inches towards its overhead resistance at 1,800. The price has consolidated in the range of 1700-1820 and looks ready for a breakout as the indicator attempts to move higher. With the overall sector in focus, Pidilite could be dolling up to participate in the next leg of the rally.

We are bullish above the risk management level of 1,820 with a target near 2,030.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

...

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The Minor Leaguers (03-29-2021)

March 29, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

In our continued effort to identify individual equities that fit within our larger Macro thesis, we recently rolled out our latest bottoms-up scan: "The Minor Leaguers."

We write a post every other week where we outline some of our favorite setups from this universe of stocks.

We've already had some great trades come out of this column and couldn't be happier about the early feedback.

Moving forward, we'll be rotating this column with "Under The Hood" each week.

In order to make it onto our Minor League list, you must have a market cap between $1 and $2B. There are also price and liquidity filters.

Then, we simply sort the stocks by their percentage from new highs. Easy done.

The idea is to catch the strongest names while they're still small and have serious upside potential. If any of these stocks ever climb up the ranks...

[PLUS] Weekly Market Notes & Breadth Trends

March 29, 2021

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Even with bottlenecks & distortions, economic recovery & cyclical rally remain intact. Tactical risks have risen as the market digests gains of last year. Watch bond yields & global participation for evidence that the rally is ready to resume.

Cyclical value sectors remain the leaders in our relative strength rankings and small-cap groups continue to dominate the upper-tier of our industry group rankings. But there is evidence beneath the surface of shifting trends. Rather than seeing a reversion back to growth leadership in our sector rankings, we are seeing defensive areas of the market start to heat up. Consumer Staples, Utilities & Real Estate have the best relative strength on a short-term basis. At the industry group level, small-cap groups are deteriorating while large-cap groups are improving.       

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Can't Stop Lovin' the Semis

March 29, 2021

The latest 2-to-100 Club Report is out with a handful of actionable names to participate in.

These aren't trades where we expect a face-ripping rally to imminently commence. But we do think there are underlying trends that can propel these names higher over the next 3-6 months.

With that in mind, I've got a trade in November options on deck to play one of my favorites from this report.

Mystery Chart (03-29-2021)

March 29, 2021

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

Check out our latest Mystery Chart!

What we do here is take a chart that’s captured our attention, and remove the x and y-axes as well as any other labels that could help identify it.

This chart can be of any security, in any asset class, on any timeframe. Sometimes it’s an absolute price chart, other times it’s on a relative basis.

It might be a ratio, a custom index, or maybe the price is inverted. It could be all three!

The point is, when we aren’t able to recognize what’s in front of us, we put aside any biases we may have and scrutinize it objectively.

While you can try to guess the chart, the point is to make a decision…

So let us know what it is… Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?

Anything Can Happen

March 28, 2021

In the wake of this week's events, I thought I would take a moment to remind everyone that nothing should surprise you.

The longer you're in this game, the more things you see. The newer you are at this, the easier it is to not know some of the history of markets.

And that's okay. You don't have to know everything the moment you start.

That's what the experience is for.

But I will let you all in on a little secret, regardless of how long you've been around: