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[Options] Tis the Season?

November 4, 2020

Depending on where you're located, the month of November means many of you are looking forward to your first snow falls of the season. Were I live here in Colorado, we've already had two snow storms -- the first one on the day after Labor Day!! Don't feel sorry for me though, we love it. And with all the wildfires Colorado has had recently, it was badly needed.

With snow on my mind, it feels fitting today's trade idea is also related to snow, if in name only.

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Young Aristocrats (November 2020)

November 4, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Dividend aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street. These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to longer-term minded shareholders.

As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world. Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.

Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That’s why we're turning our attention to the future aristocrats. In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we’re curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for 5-9 years.

Introducing the Young Aristocrats. We like to say these are "stocks that pay you to make money". Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum & relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.

Mystery Chart (11-03-2020)

November 3, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

New Mystery Chart!

For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it’s a custom index or inverted, who knows!

We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.

You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?

[Video] Big Trends Monthly w/ Josh Brown (EP.4)

November 3, 2020

Welcome to Episode 4 of the JC & Josh Brown show that he likes to call, "Big Trends Monthly". This is where we discuss a handful of the most important monthly charts that stood out during my review.

I'm always preaching how this is probably the most valuable part of my entire process: Monthly Charts! It's only something I have to do 12 times a year and might take me 30-45 minutes each month. This forces us to take a step back and gives us no choice but to identify the direction of primary trends.

Josh Brown is one of the most widely followed financial advisors in the country, and he appreciates these monthly candles as much as anyone else I know. So we're now doing a monthly show about it. You can catch up on last month's episode here.

Check out latest show where we discuss the rotation into Emerging Markets, Chinese Tech Stocks, What's next for Gold and Bitcoin, and a sneak peak at this month's Young Aristocrats list.

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RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (11-02-2020)

November 2, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Louis Sykes @Haumicharts

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

We discussed markets remaining more or less a mixed bag over recent weeks/months. At the same time, we've pointed out how the weight of the evidence continues to tilt gradually in the direction of the bulls, particularly due to the action we've observed in key risk assets.

[Options] November Positions Review

November 2, 2020

As November gets under way, it’s time to review positions with November options that remain open (haven’t already hit profit targets or been stopped out).

Most trades I put on for All Star Options tend to have a minimum duration of 30 days (short premium plays) and often as long as 6-8 months (for long premium plays). As options approach expiration, greeks like theta and gamma start to become my enemy and whipsaw my P/L. Therefore, as options and spreads get into the expiration month, my best practice is to put each position on notice — it’s time to take action.

This month, we have four open positions with November options remaining on the books. All the rest have already hit their profit targets or stop loss levels. In the scoreboard below I denote the date we exited each position.

Here’s the scoreboard:

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Under The Hood (10-30-2020)

November 2, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome to our "Under The Hood" column for the week ended October 30, 2020.

What we do is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names. There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: A list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Whether we're measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers... there is a lot of overlap.

The bottom line is there are a million ways to skin this cat. Relying on our entire arsenal of data makes us confident that we're producing the best list each week and gives us more optionality in terms of finding the most favorable trade setups for our clients.

Index Construction Drives EM Outperformance

October 31, 2020

One of the most valuable parts of our day has become reading The Chart Report India daily email.

It's impossible to catch everything that's going on in the markets on a daily basis, but we know that The Chart Report India will help us stay on top of the most significant market insights.

In just a few minutes of reading, we get a recap of what the top technicians in the world are watching in the Indian markets.

Like this tweet below from Nautilus Research, which was featured in the October 28th daily email.

In this case, Emerging Markets outperformance has been something we've been talking about for a while, but seeing its isolated performance relative to Europe really helped highlight what's driving the weakness.